Sport Picks

England

National League North RAW Charging Stadium

South Shields

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Oxford City play South Shields in the National League North. It looks like a close match. Recently, Oxford City averaged 1.26 goals scored and 1.42 conceded. South Shields averaged 2.06 goals scored and 1.06 conceded. In past meetings, Oxford City won 1, South Shields won 3, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jan 31, 2026 ended 1:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.63 for Oxford City and 1.63 for South Shields. This points to a South Shields double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%

Oxford City

17%

Draws

50%

South Shields

Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: South Shields

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

77% / High Confidence

Oxford City picked up more points recently compared to South Shields.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.63 vs 1.63 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 64%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 64%

Over 3.5 Goals 38%

Over 4.5 Goals 19%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 62%

Oxford City Clean Sheet 14%

South Shields Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 74%

Second Half Goal 78%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Oxford City	South Shields
Matches Played	31	31
Wins	11	17
Draws	8	7
Losses	12	7
Goals Scored	1.26	2.06
Goals Conceded	1.42	1.06
Expected Goals (xG)	1.88	2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.00	1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 31, 2026 National League North

Oxford City vs South Shields

Possession: 54% - 51% Cards: 1 - 3

1:3

Nov 18, 2025 National League North

South Shields vs Oxford City

Possession: 45% - 55% Cards: 1 - 2

4:1

Mar 18, 2025 National League North

South Shields vs Oxford City

Possession: 50% - 48% Cards: 4 - 3

1:2

Aug 24, 2024 National League North

Oxford City vs South Shields

Possession: 47% - 52% Cards: 1 - 2

1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Oxford City Compare

Top Goalscorer Burroughs G.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.45

Avg xA / game 0.94

South Shields Compare

Top Goalscorer Scott C.

2 Goals

Assists Leader Ward D.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 2.05

Avg xA / game 1.25

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Oxford City 33 / 100

South Shields 47 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Oxford City South Shields

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: South Shields or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +32%

4.00

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +10.1%

1.72

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Oxford City attacking → ← attacking South Shields

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Oxford City scored in 68% of their last 31 games.

South Shields let in goals in 77% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 4.25 goals.

Oxford City went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

South Shields lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

41 Points in last 5 58

1.88 Goals expected (xG) 2.25

1.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.38

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	AFC Fylde	46	32	4	10	112:51	100
2	South Shields	46	28	11	7	99:43	95
3	Kidderminster	46	25	12	9	74:51	87
4	Macclesfield	46	24	7	15	81:68	79
5	Buxton	46	22	7	17	83:61	73
6	Scarborough Athletic	46	19	16	11	61:52	73
7	Chester	46	20	13	13	66:64	73
8	Merthyr Town	46	22	4	20	95:86	70
9	Darlington FC	46	20	9	17	78:68	69
10	Spennymoor	46	19	11	16	62:69	68
11	Telford	46	17	14	15	85:65	65
12	Marine	46	18	8	20	62:72	62
13	Radcliffe	46	18	6	22	76:83	60
14	Southport	46	16	12	18	64:71	60
15	Chorley	46	15	12	19	66:65	57
16	Worksop	46	16	9	21	66:74	57
17	Oxford City	46	15	11	20	62:67	56
18	Bedford	46	13	14	19	66:77	53
19	King’s Lynn	46	12	16	18	56:64	52
20	Hereford	46	14	10	22	64:79	52
21	Curzon Ashton	46	13	13	20	67:88	52
22	Alfreton	46	12	14	20	49:82	50
23	Peterborough Sports	46	10	9	27	51:96	39
24	Leamington	46	7	8	31	41:90	29