Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Oxford City vs Telford

England England

National League North 2025/2026 RAW Charging Stadium
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Oxford City play Telford in the National League North 2025/2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, Oxford City averaged 1.27 goals scored and 1.4 conceded. Telford averaged 2.06 goals scored and 1.32 conceded. In past meetings, Oxford City won 1, Telford won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on Feb 24, 2026 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.75 for Oxford City and 1.25 for Telford. This points to a Telford double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Oxford City
25%
Draws
41%
Telford
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Telford

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

72% / Medium Confidence
  • Oxford City picked up more points recently compared to Telford.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.75 vs 1.25 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 62%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 86%
Over 2.5 Goals 62%
Over 3.5 Goals 37%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 55%
Oxford City Clean Sheet 19%
Telford Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 77%
Second Half Goal 82%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Oxford City Telford
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 11 15
Draws 8 7
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 1.27 2.06
Goals Conceded 1.4 1.32
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 24, 2026 National League North
Oxford City vs Telford
0:0
Nov 25, 2025 National League North
Telford vs Oxford City
4:0
Apr 8, 2014 National League North
Oxford City vs Telford
2:0
Mar 22, 2014 National League North
Telford vs Oxford City
4:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Oxford City 34 / 100
Telford 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Oxford City Telford

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Telford or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +30.9%
3.85
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11%
1.79
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Oxford City attacking → ← attacking Telford

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Oxford City scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Telford let in goals in 74% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Oxford City went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Telford lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

41 Points in last 5 52
1.88 Goals expected (xG) 1.50
1.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.63

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1AFC Fylde4632410112:51100
2South Shields462811799:4395
3Kidderminster462512974:5187
4Macclesfield462471581:6879
5Buxton462271783:6173
6Scarborough Athletic4619161161:5273
7Chester4620131366:6473
8Merthyr Town462242095:8670
9Darlington FC462091778:6869
10Spennymoor4619111662:6968
11Telford4617141585:6565
12Marine461882062:7262
13Radcliffe461862276:8360
14Southport4616121864:7160
15Chorley4615121966:6557
16Worksop461692166:7457
17Oxford City4615112062:6756
18Bedford4613141966:7753
19King’s Lynn4612161856:6452
20Hereford4614102264:7952
21Curzon Ashton4613132067:8852
22Alfreton4612142049:8250
23Peterborough Sports461092751:9639
24Leamington46783141:9029