Sport Picks
Oxford Utd vs Burton - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
England
League One Kassam Stadium, Oxford 
Match Events
23'
23'
Lewis J.
38'
38'
McDonnell J.
46'
46'
Sub
Armer J. In: Araujo H.
Out: Armer J.
AI Match Summary
Oxford Utd in this League One matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Oxford Utd.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
20%
40%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
40%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Oxford Utd lately — more wins on the board than Burton.
- Win probability leans Oxford Utd's way, sitting at 90%.
- Regular League One form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 5 times recently and Oxford Utd have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Oxford Utd Clean Sheet 16%
Burton Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Oxford Utd | Burton |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 12 | 8 |
| Draws | 6 | 11 |
| Losses | 10 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.5 | 1.07 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.21 | 1.21 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.81 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 12, 2026 League One
Oxford Utd vs Burton
3:0
Apr 6, 2024 League One
Burton vs Oxford Utd
0:4
Dec 16, 2023 League One
Oxford Utd vs Burton
3:0
Jan 28, 2023 League One
Burton vs Oxford Utd
2:0
Sep 3, 2022 League One
Oxford Utd vs Burton
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Oxford Utd Compare
Top Goalscorer Dembele S.
1 Goals Assists Leader Sibley L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91
Burton Compare
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Oxford Utd 84 / 100
Burton 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Oxford Utd Burton
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Oxford Utd Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Oxford Utd found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (28 games).
Burton let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.
Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.
Oxford Utd went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Oxford Utd VS Burton
1.88 Goals Scored 1.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Oxford Utd
(Home) 06 Oct
Exeter
3 : 2 Oxford Utd
19 Sept
Oxford Utd
1 : 1 Cambridge Utd
12 Sept
Oxford Utd
3 : 0 Burton
05 Sept
Leicester
0 : 4 Oxford Utd
01 Sept
Huddersfield
3 : 1 Oxford Utd
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Oxford Utd
1 : 1 Cambridge Utd
12 Sept
Oxford Utd
3 : 0 Burton
15 Aug
Oxford Utd
2 : 2 Milton Keynes Dons
01 Aug
Oxford Utd
2 : 0 Ipswich
28 Jul
Oxford Utd
3 : 1 Crawley Town
Page 1 of 3
Burton
(Away) 06 Oct
Grimsby
0 : 1 Burton
03 Oct
Burton
1 : 3 Huddersfield
26 Sept
Plymouth
0 : 1 Burton
22 Sept
Burton
1 : 2 Nottingham U21
19 Sept
Burton
2 : 2 Mansfield
Page 1 of 6
06 Oct
Grimsby
0 : 1 Burton
26 Sept
Plymouth
0 : 1 Burton
12 Sept
Oxford Utd
3 : 0 Burton
29 Aug
Notts County
2 : 1 Burton
22 Aug
Leicester
1 : 2 Burton
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Plymouth | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 16:11 | 16 |
| 2 | Bradford City | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 8:5 | 16 |
| 3 | Huddersfield | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 14:7 | 15 |
| 4 | Sheffield Wed | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13:6 | 14 |
| 5 | Stockport County | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 17:10 | 13 |
| 6 | Cambridge Utd | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 13:11 | 13 |
| 7 | Reading | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 17:10 | 12 |
| 8 | Burton | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 14:15 | 12 |
| 9 | AFC Wimbledon | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 6:8 | 12 |
| 10 | Oxford Utd | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 13:7 | 11 |
| 11 | Leyton Orient | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 13:11 | 10 |
| 12 | Wycombe | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 13:16 | 10 |
| 13 | Stevenage | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 11:8 | 9 |
| 14 | Leicester | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 9:11 | 9 |
| 15 | Blackpool | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 13:13 | 8 |
| 16 | Luton | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 12:14 | 8 |
| 17 | Mansfield | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10:13 | 8 |
| 18 | Barnsley | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7:12 | 8 |
| 19 | Bromley | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8:18 | 8 |
| 20 | Notts County | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 7:9 | 7 |
| 21 | Doncaster | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 8:9 | 6 |
| 22 | Milton Keynes Dons | 7 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 8:10 | 6 |
| 23 | Peterborough | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 4:13 | 5 |
| 24 | Wigan | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5:12 | 4 |
Promotion - Championship 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - League One (Play Offs)
Relegation - League Two 2027/2028 (Main)
