Sport Picks
Oxford Utd vs Colchester Prediction & H2H Stats
England
EFL Cup 2025/2026 Kassam Stadium, Oxford 
Match Events
9'
9'
Goodrham T.
Assist: Bradshaw T.
46'
46'
Sub
Payne J. In: Tovide S.
Out: Payne J.
46'
46'
Sub
Williams J. In: Lisbie K.
Out: Williams J.
AI Match Summary
This match ends 1-0, with Oxford Utd advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
50%
35%
15%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Oxford Utd
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
50%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Oxford Utd come out ahead of Colchester on wins alone.
- Win probability leans Oxford Utd's way, sitting at 90%.
- Oxford Utd have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Colchester, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Oxford Utd Clean Sheet 20%
Colchester Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Oxford Utd | Colchester |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 12 | 8 |
| Draws | 7 | 8 |
| Losses | 10 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.41 | 1.29 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.17 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.56 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 12, 2025 EFL Cup
Oxford Utd vs Colchester
1:0
Nov 8, 2003 FA Cup
Colchester vs Oxford Utd
1:0
Jan 27, 2001 League One
Oxford Utd vs Colchester
0:1
Dec 22, 2000 League One
Colchester vs Oxford Utd
3:2
Mar 11, 2000 League One
Colchester vs Oxford Utd
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Oxford Utd Compare
Top Goalscorer Goodrham T.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78
Colchester Compare
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Oxford Utd 85 / 100
Colchester 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Oxford Utd Colchester
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Oxford Utd Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Oxford Utd scored in 69% of their last 29 games.
Defensive concern: Colchester conceded in 75% of 28 recent games.
These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.
Oxford Utd has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Oxford Utd VS Colchester
1.63 Goals Scored 1
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Oxford Utd
(Home) 19 Sept
Oxford Utd
1 : 1 Cambridge Utd
12 Sept
Oxford Utd
3 : 0 Burton
05 Sept
Leicester
0 : 4 Oxford Utd
01 Sept
Huddersfield
3 : 1 Oxford Utd
22 Aug
Stevenage
1 : 2 Oxford Utd
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Oxford Utd
1 : 1 Cambridge Utd
12 Sept
Oxford Utd
3 : 0 Burton
15 Aug
Oxford Utd
2 : 2 Milton Keynes Dons
01 Aug
Oxford Utd
2 : 0 Ipswich
28 Jul
Oxford Utd
3 : 1 Crawley Town
Page 1 of 3
Colchester
(Away) 26 Sept
Shrewsbury
2 : 2 Colchester
22 Sept
Peterborough
3 : 1 Colchester
19 Sept
Colchester
1 : 1 Cheltenham
12 Sept
Colchester
1 : 1 Crewe
05 Sept
Swindon
3 : 1 Colchester
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Shrewsbury
2 : 2 Colchester
22 Sept
Peterborough
3 : 1 Colchester
05 Sept
Swindon
3 : 1 Colchester
01 Sept
Bristol Rovers
2 : 0 Colchester
15 Aug
Accrington
2 : 2 Colchester
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
Barrow 0
Preston 1
Wrexham 4
Hull City 3
Portsmouth 1
Reading 2
Gillingham 1
AFC Wimbledon 2
Burnley -
TBD -
West Brom 1
Derby 2
Cardiff 2
Swindon 1
Cheltenham 2
Exeter 0
Wolves -
TBD -
TBD -
West Ham -
Everton -
TBD -
Chesterfield 0
Mansfield 2
Tranmere 1
Burton 2
Harrogate 1
Lincoln City 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Chelsea -
Birmingham 2
Sheffield Utd 1
Blackpool 0
Port Vale 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Arsenal -
Barnsley 3
Fleetwood Town 2
Salford 0
Rotherham 1
Oxford Utd 1
Colchester 0
TBD -
Brighton -
Liverpool -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Watford 1
Norwich 2
Northampton 0
Southampton 1
Crystal Palace -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Newport 0
Millwall 1
Coventry 1
Luton 0
Newcastle Utd -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Stoke City 1
Walsall 0
Blackburn 1
Bradford City 2
Tottenham -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Accrington 2
Peterborough 1
Middlesbrough 0
Doncaster 4
Wigan 1
Notts County 0
Stockport County 3
Crewe 1
Bromley 2
Ipswich 1
Leyton Orient 0
Wycombe 1
Fulham -
TBD -
Bristol City 2
Milton Keynes Dons 0
Bristol Rovers 0
Cambridge Utd 2
Charlton 3
Stevenage 1
Swansea 3
Crawley Town 1
Plymouth 3
QPR 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Nottingham -
Sunderland -
TBD -
Huddersfield 3
Leicester 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Manchester City -
Bolton 3
Sheffield Wed 4
TBD -
Leeds -
Grimsby 3
Shrewsbury 1
TBD -
Manchester United -
Bournemouth -
TBD -
TBD -
Brentford -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Aston Villa -
1/32-finals
Preston 2
Wrexham 3
Reading 2
AFC Wimbledon 1
Burnley 2
Derby 1
Cardiff 3
Cheltenham 0
Wolves 3
West Ham 2
Everton 2
Mansfield 0
Burton 0
Lincoln City 1
TBD -
Chelsea -
Birmingham 0
Port Vale 1
TBD -
Arsenal -
Barnsley 2
Rotherham 1
Oxford Utd 0
Brighton 6
Liverpool -
TBD -
Norwich 0
Southampton 3
Crystal Palace -
TBD -
Millwall 2
Coventry 1
Newcastle Utd -
TBD -
Stoke City 0
Bradford City 3
Tottenham -
TBD -
Accrington 0
Doncaster 2
Wigan 1
Stockport County 0
Bromley 1
Wycombe 2
Fulham 2
Bristol City 0
Cambridge Utd 3
Charlton 1
Swansea 2
Plymouth 1
TBD -
Nottingham -
Sunderland 1
Huddersfield 2
TBD -
Manchester City -
Sheffield Wed 2
Leeds 1
Grimsby 3
Manchester United 2
Bournemouth 0
Brentford 2
TBD -
Aston Villa -
1/16-finals
Wrexham 2
Reading 0
Burnley 1
Cardiff 2
Wolves 2
Everton 0
Lincoln City 1
Chelsea 2
Port Vale 0
Arsenal 2
Barnsley 0
Brighton 6
Liverpool 2
Southampton 1
Crystal Palace 2
Millwall 1
Newcastle Utd 4
Bradford City 1
Tottenham 3
Doncaster 0
Wigan 0
Wycombe 2
Fulham 1
Cambridge Utd 0
Swansea 3
Nottingham 2
Huddersfield 0
Manchester City 2
Sheffield Wed 0
Grimsby 1
Brentford 2
Aston Villa 1
1/8-finals
Wrexham 1
Cardiff 2
Wolves 3
Chelsea 4
Arsenal 2
Brighton 0
Liverpool 0
Crystal Palace 3
Newcastle Utd 2
Tottenham 0
Wycombe 1
Fulham 2
Swansea 1
Manchester City 3
Grimsby 0
Brentford 5
Quarter-finals
Cardiff 1
Chelsea 3
Arsenal 2
Crystal Palace 1
Newcastle Utd 2
Fulham 1
Manchester City 2
Brentford 0
Semi-finals
Chelsea 2
Arsenal 4
Newcastle Utd 1
Manchester City 5
Final
Arsenal 0
Manchester City 2
