Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Oxford Utd vs Crawley Town

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Barker C.
Own Goal
31' Event
Ebiowei M.
42'
Sub
Roosken R. In: Dembele S.
Out: Roosken R.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Oxford Utd and Crawley Town finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Oxford Utd.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

73%
Oxford Utd
20%
Draws
7%
Crawley Town
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Oxford Utd

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Oxford Utd carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Oxford Utd a 73% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 28%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Oxford Utd Clean Sheet 20%
Crawley Town Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Oxford Utd Crawley Town
Matches Played 30 27
Wins 12 5
Draws 7 9
Losses 11 13
Goals Scored 1.37 0.85
Goals Conceded 1.2 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.08
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 28, 2026 Club Friendly
Oxford Utd vs Crawley Town
3:1
Nov 12, 2019 EFL Trophy
Crawley Town vs Oxford Utd
1:4
Apr 9, 2016 League Two
Crawley Town vs Oxford Utd
1:5
Aug 8, 2015 League Two
Oxford Utd vs Crawley Town
1:1
Jan 2, 2012 League Two
Oxford Utd vs Crawley Town
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Oxford Utd Compare

Top Goalscorer O'Donkor G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Goodrham T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Crawley Town Compare

Top Goalscorer Ebiowei M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.98
Avg xA / game 0.6

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Oxford Utd 85 / 100
Crawley Town 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Oxford Utd Crawley Town

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Oxford Utd Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

Oxford Utd scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Crawley Town let in goals in 70% of their last 27 matches.

Oxford Utd has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Oxford Utd VS Crawley Town
1.86 Goals Scored 0.88
1.29 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 63%
71% Over 2.5 25%
43% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Oxford Utd

(Home)
19 Sept
Oxford Utd
1 : 1
Cambridge Utd
12 Sept
Oxford Utd
3 : 0
Burton
05 Sept
Leicester
0 : 4
Oxford Utd
01 Sept
Huddersfield
3 : 1
Oxford Utd
22 Aug
Stevenage
1 : 2
Oxford Utd
Page 1 of 6

Crawley Town

(Away)
22 Sept
Milton Keynes Dons
4 : 1
Crawley Town
19 Sept
Grimsby
2 : 0
Crawley Town
12 Sept
Crawley Town
1 : 3
Cheltenham
05 Sept
Accrington
3 : 2
Crawley Town
01 Sept
Northampton
1 : 1
Crawley Town
Page 1 of 6