Sport Picks

Oxford Utd vs Stevenage - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England

FA Cup Kassam Stadium, Oxford

Stevenage

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the FA Cup. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: Oxford Utd at 1.56 goals for, 1.11 against; Stevenage at 1.28 for, 1.21 against. Past meetings favor Oxford Utd slightly — 3-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Aug 22, 2026, ending 1:2. Model xG sits at 1.13 vs 1.38, favoring Oxford Utd. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: NG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%

Oxford Utd

35%

Draws

28%

Stevenage

Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Oxford Utd

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence

Stevenage have won more games recently than Oxford Utd.
37% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
Stevenage arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
Historical meetings favor Stevenage, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 69%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 19%

Over 4.5 Goals 9%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%

Oxford Utd Clean Sheet 68%

Stevenage Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Oxford Utd	Stevenage
Matches Played	27	29
Wins	12	13
Draws	8	7
Losses	7	9
Goals Scored	1.56	1.28
Goals Conceded	1.11	1.21
Expected Goals (xG)	1.13	1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 League One

Stevenage vs Oxford Utd

1:2

Apr 19, 2024 League One

Oxford Utd vs Stevenage

1:1

Sep 30, 2023 League One

Stevenage vs Oxford Utd

1:3

Oct 5, 2021 EFL Trophy

Oxford Utd vs Stevenage

1:2

Aug 29, 2017 EFL Trophy

Stevenage vs Oxford Utd

2:6

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Oxford Utd 41 / 100

Stevenage 31 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Oxford Utd Stevenage

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Oxford Utd Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Oxford Utd went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Oxford Utd's goal record stands at 78% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

Defensive concern: Stevenage conceded in 66% of 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Oxford Utd VS Stevenage

1.25 Goals Scored 1.75

1 Goals Conceded 1

75% Over 1.5 63%

38% Over 2.5 50%

13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Oxford Utd

(Home)

31 Oct

Barnsley

1 : 1

Oxford Utd

27 Oct

Oxford Utd

1 : 0

Stockport County

24 Oct

Oxford Utd

0 : 0

Bradford City

20 Oct

Oxford Utd

2 : 1

Wigan

15 Oct

Mansfield

1 : 1

Oxford Utd

Page 1 of 6

Stevenage

(Away)

31 Oct

Leicester

2 : 2

Stevenage

24 Oct

Stevenage

0 : 1

Milton Keynes Dons

20 Oct

Stevenage

3 : 0

Plymouth

17 Oct

Bradford City

2 : 0

Stevenage

10 Oct

Stevenage

1 : 0

Wigan

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Tournament Bracket & Draw

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Oxford Utd vs Stevenage - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England

Oxford Utd

Stevenage

AI Match Summary

Win Probability Meter

Model Confidence

Goal Probability Engine

Recent Team Form Analysis

H2H

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Attack & Defence Capability Index

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Scoring Trends

Recent Form & Match History

Oxford Utd

Stevenage

Tournament Bracket & Draw

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