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Oxford Utd vs Stockport County - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

League One Kassam Stadium, Oxford
Tue, Oct 27, 2026
VS
07:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Oxford Utd host Stockport County in the League One. Little to choose between these two on current form. Stockport County have shipped 1.19 goals a game lately, while Oxford Utd have conceded 1.19 and scored 1.67. Past meetings favor Stockport County slightly — 1-3-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 5, 2011, ending 2:1. xG projections (1.31 - 1.44) back Stockport County to edge this. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Oxford Utd
30%
Draws
43%
Stockport County
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Stockport County

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Stockport County come out ahead of Oxford Utd on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Stockport County's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Oxford Utd Clean Sheet 16%
Stockport County Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Oxford Utd Stockport County
Matches Played 27 32
Wins 13 19
Draws 6 4
Losses 8 9
Goals Scored 1.67 1.97
Goals Conceded 1.19 1.19
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 5, 2011 League Two
Stockport County vs Oxford Utd
2:1
Sep 18, 2010 League Two
Oxford Utd vs Stockport County
0:1
Mar 11, 2006 League Two
Stockport County vs Oxford Utd
2:1
Aug 27, 2005 League Two
Oxford Utd vs Stockport County
1:1
May 9, 1999 Championship
Oxford Utd vs Stockport County
5:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Oxford Utd 28 / 100
Stockport County 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Oxford Utd Stockport County

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Stockport County Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Oxford Utd found the back of the net in 81% of recent matches (27 games).

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Oxford Utd went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Stockport County's defensive record shows goals conceded in 59% of 32 matches.

Scoring Trends

Oxford Utd VS Stockport County
1.75 Goals Scored 1.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Oxford Utd

(Home)
15 Oct
Mansfield
1 : 1
Oxford Utd
10 Oct
Notts County
1 : 2
Oxford Utd
06 Oct
Exeter
3 : 2
Oxford Utd
19 Sept
Oxford Utd
1 : 1
Cambridge Utd
12 Sept
Oxford Utd
3 : 0
Burton
Page 1 of 6

Stockport County

(Away)
17 Oct
Stockport County
1 : 0
Bromley
10 Oct
Stockport County
3 : 1
Barnsley
06 Oct
Shrewsbury
0 : 2
Stockport County
26 Sept
Stockport County
1 : 0
Peterborough
19 Sept
Sheffield Wed
0 : 0
Stockport County
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bradford City 10 6 2 2 10:5 20
2 Stockport County 10 6 1 3 21:11 19
3 Huddersfield 10 5 4 1 18:9 19
4 Plymouth 11 6 1 4 18:14 19
5 Cambridge Utd 10 5 4 1 16:12 19
6 Sheffield Wed 9 5 3 1 20:8 18
7 Reading 10 4 3 3 22:12 15
8 Oxford Utd 8 4 3 1 16:9 15
9 Leyton Orient 10 4 2 4 15:11 14
10 Burton 11 3 4 4 16:18 13
11 Wycombe 10 3 4 3 16:20 13
12 Stevenage 9 3 3 3 12:10 12
13 Mansfield 9 3 3 3 13:15 12
14 Leicester 9 3 3 3 12:15 12
15 AFC Wimbledon 10 3 3 4 7:15 12
16 Luton 9 3 2 4 17:17 11
17 Doncaster 9 2 3 4 10:11 9
18 Milton Keynes Dons 9 1 6 2 11:16 9
19 Peterborough 10 2 3 5 9:16 9
20 Blackpool 9 2 2 5 13:16 8
21 Barnsley 9 2 2 5 9:17 8
22 Bromley 9 2 2 5 9:21 8
23 Notts County 9 1 4 4 8:13 7
24 Wigan 9 2 1 6 6:13 7
Promotion - Championship 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - League One (Play Offs)
Relegation - League Two 2027/2028 (Main)