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Oxford Utd vs Wigan - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

League One Kassam Stadium, Oxford
Our Tip

Match Events

26'
Weir J.
31'
Gray C.
44' Event
Helik M.

AI Match Summary

Oxford Utd in this League One matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Oxford Utd.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Oxford Utd
20%
Draws
34%
Wigan
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Oxford Utd

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Wigan haven't matched Oxford Utd's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Oxford Utd a 46% chance of winning this.
  • Regular League One form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Oxford Utd Clean Sheet 20%
Wigan Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Oxford Utd Wigan
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 14 9
Draws 6 5
Losses 8 13
Goals Scored 1.68 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.18 1.26
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 20, 2026 League One
Oxford Utd vs Wigan
2:1
Feb 13, 2024 League One
Oxford Utd vs Wigan
4:2
Oct 24, 2023 League One
Wigan vs Oxford Utd
2:0
Feb 1, 2022 League One
Wigan vs Oxford Utd
1:1
Dec 18, 2021 League One
Oxford Utd vs Wigan
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Oxford Utd Compare

Top Goalscorer Helik M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Andrews K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Wigan Compare

Top Goalscorer Saydee C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Oxford Utd 40 / 100
Wigan 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Oxford Utd Wigan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Oxford Utd Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Oxford Utd scored in 82% of their last 28 games.

These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.

Defensive concern: Wigan conceded in 70% of 27 recent games.

Oxford Utd has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Oxford Utd VS Wigan
2 Goals Scored 0.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 38%
75% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Oxford Utd

(Home)
20 Oct
Oxford Utd
2 : 1
Wigan
15 Oct
Mansfield
1 : 1
Oxford Utd
10 Oct
Notts County
1 : 2
Oxford Utd
06 Oct
Exeter
3 : 2
Oxford Utd
19 Sept
Oxford Utd
1 : 1
Cambridge Utd
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Wigan

(Away)
20 Oct
Oxford Utd
2 : 1
Wigan
17 Oct
Wigan
1 : 0
Reading
10 Oct
Stevenage
1 : 0
Wigan
22 Sept
Wigan
3 : 2
Blackpool
19 Sept
Wigan
0 : 1
Wycombe
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Stockport County 11 7 1 3 23:11 22
2 Huddersfield 11 6 4 1 22:10 22
3 Bradford City 11 6 3 2 10:5 21
4 Cambridge Utd 11 5 5 1 18:14 20
5 Plymouth 12 6 1 5 18:17 19
6 Reading 11 5 3 3 23:12 18
7 Sheffield Wed 10 5 3 2 20:10 18
8 Oxford Utd 9 5 3 1 18:10 18
9 Stevenage 10 4 3 3 15:10 15
10 Leicester 10 4 3 3 16:15 15
11 Mansfield 10 4 3 3 16:15 15
12 Leyton Orient 11 4 2 5 15:12 14
13 Luton 10 4 2 4 19:18 14
14 Burton 12 3 5 4 16:18 14
15 Wycombe 11 3 5 3 18:22 14
16 AFC Wimbledon 11 3 3 5 7:18 12
17 Blackpool 10 3 2 5 15:16 11
18 Notts County 10 2 4 4 10:13 10
19 Doncaster 10 2 3 5 10:13 9
20 Milton Keynes Dons 10 1 6 3 11:18 9
21 Peterborough 11 2 3 6 10:20 9
22 Barnsley 10 2 2 6 10:19 8
23 Bromley 10 2 2 6 9:25 8
24 Wigan 10 2 1 7 7:15 7
Promotion - Championship 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - League One (Play Offs)
Relegation - League Two 2027/2028 (Main)