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Oxigen Bucuresti vs CSM Alexandria - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Romania Romania

Liga 3 - Seria 5
Fri, Oct 30, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Oxigen Bucuresti host CSM Alexandria in the Liga 3 - Seria 5. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. Recent numbers: Oxigen Bucuresti at 1.38 goals for, 1.75 against; CSM Alexandria at 1.64 for, 1.21 against. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. Model xG sits at 1.38 vs 1.63, favoring CSM Alexandria. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Oxigen Bucuresti
15%
Draws
50%
CSM Alexandria
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: CSM Alexandria

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • CSM Alexandria have won more games recently than Oxigen Bucuresti.
  • 50% — that's where the model lands on CSM Alexandria taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Oxigen Bucuresti Clean Sheet 14%
CSM Alexandria Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Oxigen Bucuresti CSM Alexandria
Matches Played 8 28
Wins 3 14
Draws 1 6
Losses 4 8
Goals Scored 1.38 1.64
Goals Conceded 1.75 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Oxigen Bucuresti 27 / 100
CSM Alexandria 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Oxigen Bucuresti CSM Alexandria

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CSM Alexandria Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Oxigen Bucuresti found the back of the net in 100% of recent matches (8 games).

CSM Alexandria's defensive record shows goals conceded in 61% of 28 matches.

Solid form: Oxigen Bucuresti remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Oxigen Bucuresti VS CSM Alexandria
1.38 Goals Scored 1.5
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Oxigen Bucuresti

(Home)
09 Oct
Oxigen Bucuresti
2 : 0
Cetatea Turnu Magurele
02 Oct
Din. Bucuresti 2
1 : 2
Oxigen Bucuresti
25 Sept
Oxigen Bucuresti
1 : 2
Voluntari 2
22 Sept
Adunatii-Copaceni
0 : 1
Oxigen Bucuresti
18 Sept
Oxigen Bucuresti
1 : 2
FCSB 2
Page 1 of 2

CSM Alexandria

(Away)
09 Oct
CSM Alexandria
1 : 0
Din. Bucuresti 2
02 Oct
Voluntari 2
0 : 2
CSM Alexandria
25 Sept
CSM Alexandria
2 : 0
Adunatii-Copaceni
22 Sept
FCSB 2
1 : 3
CSM Alexandria
18 Sept
CSM Alexandria
2 : 2
SCM Dunarea Giurgiu
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Omega Sport 8 6 2 0 11:5 20
2 CSM Alexandria 8 5 2 1 13:6 17
3 LPS HD Clinceni 8 4 2 2 19:13 14
4 SCM Dunarea Giurgiu 8 3 5 0 14:9 14
5 Progresul Mogosoaia 8 3 3 2 11:12 12
6 Adunatii-Copaceni 8 4 0 4 7:8 12
7 Oxigen Bucuresti 8 3 1 4 11:14 10
8 Cetatea Turnu Magurele 8 2 3 3 19:13 9
9 Din. Bucuresti 2 8 3 0 5 8:13 9
10 Voluntari 2 8 2 1 5 8:12 7
11 Progresul Spartac 8 2 0 6 10:11 6
12 FCSB 2 8 1 1 6 9:24 4
Promotion - Liga 3 - Promotion Group 2026/2027 (Main)
Relegation - Liga 3 - Seria 5 (Relegation Group)