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Oyonesa vs Arnedo

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Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
Medrano
38' Event
Medrano
76' Event
Martinez J.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2025/2026 game between Oyonesa and Arnedo finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Arnedo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Oyonesa
30%
Draws
39%
Arnedo
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Arnedo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Arnedo carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Oyonesa Clean Sheet 18%
Arnedo Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Oyonesa Arnedo
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 19
Draws 9 8
Losses 8 3
Goals Scored 1.43 2.13
Goals Conceded 1.13 0.8
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 7, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Arnedo vs Oyonesa
3:2
May 31, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Oyonesa vs Arnedo
0:0
Feb 1, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Oyonesa vs Arnedo
2:3
Sep 21, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Arnedo vs Oyonesa
2:0
May 25, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Arnedo vs Oyonesa
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Oyonesa Compare

Top Goalscorer Loza O.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Cordovin S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Arnedo Compare

Top Goalscorer Medrano
2 Goals
Assists Leader Martinez J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Oyonesa 32 / 100
Arnedo 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Oyonesa Arnedo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Oyonesa scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Arnedo conceded in 60% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Oyonesa went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Oyonesa VS Arnedo
1.5 Goals Scored 1.75
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.38
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Oyonesa

(Home)
07 Jun
Arnedo
3 : 2
Oyonesa
31 May
Oyonesa
0 : 0
Arnedo
24 May
Varea
0 : 2
Oyonesa
17 May
Oyonesa
0 : 0
Varea
10 May
Varea
0 : 1
Oyonesa
Page 1 of 6

Arnedo

(Away)
20 Jun
Arnedo
2 : 0
CD Tropezon
13 Jun
CD Tropezon
1 : 0
Arnedo
07 Jun
Arnedo
3 : 2
Oyonesa
31 May
Oyonesa
0 : 0
Arnedo
24 May
Arnedo
1 : 0
CD Calahorra
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 UD Logrones B 34 26 8 0 99:22 86
2 Varea 34 22 7 5 51:25 73
3 Arnedo 34 21 9 4 72:26 72
4 CD Calahorra 34 17 12 5 86:26 63
5 Oyonesa 34 18 7 9 54:41 61
6 Anguiano 34 17 9 8 49:36 60
7 Haro Deportivo 34 14 9 11 54:46 51
8 Agoncillo 34 13 8 13 59:49 47
9 Vianes 34 11 9 14 39:51 42
10 Yague 34 9 13 12 48:52 40
11 San Marcial 34 10 9 15 39:59 39
12 Berceo 34 10 9 15 42:50 39
13 CDFC La Calzada 34 10 8 16 40:55 38
14 Comillas CF 34 11 5 18 32:58 38
15 Pradejon 34 9 8 17 30:49 35
16 Villegas 34 7 7 20 36:66 28
17 Autol 34 4 6 24 20:80 18
18 Pena Balsamaiso 34 0 11 23 27:86 11
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2025/2026 (Play Offs)