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Pacatuba vs Crato

Brazil Brazil

Cearense 2 2025
Pacatuba Logo

Pacatuba

1 - 3
FT
Crato Logo

Crato

Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Rogerinho
(Penalty)
19' Event
Jeremias
28' Event
Erison
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Cearense 2 2025 game between Pacatuba and Crato finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Crato.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Pacatuba
30%
Draws
41%
Crato
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Crato

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Crato carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 41% — that's where the model lands on Crato taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 29%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Pacatuba Clean Sheet 16%
Crato Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pacatuba Crato
Matches Played 18 30
Wins 2 14
Draws 6 8
Losses 10 8
Goals Scored 0.67 1.4
Goals Conceded 1.78 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.48 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 23, 2025 Cearense 2
Pacatuba vs Crato
1:3
Feb 26, 2025 Cearense 2
Crato vs Pacatuba
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pacatuba Compare

Top Goalscorer Jeremias
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.37
Avg xA / game 0.24

Crato Compare

Top Goalscorer Erison
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pacatuba 23 / 100
Crato 49 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pacatuba Crato

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CRA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.50 goals.

Crato's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 30 matches.

Pacatuba went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Pacatuba scored in 39% of their last 18 outings.

Scoring Trends

Pacatuba VS Crato
0.33 Goals Scored 1.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.63
50% Over 1.5 63%
33% Over 2.5 25%
33% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Pacatuba

(Home)
01 Aug
Pacatuba
1 : 1
Vila Real
27 Jul
Acopiara
0 : 0
Pacatuba
23 Mar
Pacatuba
1 : 3
Crato
19 Mar
Icasa
5 : 0
Pacatuba
12 Mar
Pacatuba
4 : 2
Guarani de Juazeiro
Page 1 of 4

Crato

(Away)
31 May
Itapipoca
2 : 0
Crato
23 May
Crato
2 : 2
Itapipoca
19 May
Crato
3 : 1
Guarany SC
10 May
Crato
1 : 3
Icasa
02 May
Cariri FC
0 : 1
Crato
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Itapipoca 8 6 1 1 15:4 19
2 Maranguape 8 5 1 2 11:4 16
3 Caucaia 8 4 1 3 11:10 13
4 Atletico Cearense 8 1 3 4 8:15 6
5 Tiradentes 8 0 2 6 6:18 2
Promotion - Cearense 2 2025 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Cearense 2 2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Cearense 3 (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Quixada 8 5 1 2 14:11 16
2 Crato 8 3 2 3 13:10 11
3 Guarani de Juazeiro 8 3 2 3 11:14 11
4 Icasa 8 2 5 1 14:7 11
5 Pacatuba 8 1 2 5 9:19 5
Promotion - Cearense 2 2025 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Cearense 2 2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Cearense 3 (Main)