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Pacatuba vs Guarani de Juazeiro Prediction & H2H Stats

Brazil Brazil

Cearense 2 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Jeremias
24' Event
Dudu
28' Event
Italo

AI Match Summary

Pacatuba in this Cearense 2 2025 matchup, with the score ending 4-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Pacatuba.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Pacatuba
30%
Draws
39%
Guarani de Juazeiro
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Guarani de Juazeiro

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

31% / Low Confidence
  • Pacatuba haven't matched Guarani de Juazeiro's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Pacatuba a 31% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Pacatuba Clean Sheet 20%
Guarani de Juazeiro Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pacatuba Guarani de Juazeiro
Matches Played 24 31
Wins 4 9
Draws 9 9
Losses 11 13
Goals Scored 0.83 1.06
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 12, 2025 Cearense 2
Pacatuba vs Guarani de Juazeiro
4:2
Feb 16, 2025 Cearense 2
Guarani de Juazeiro vs Pacatuba
0:0
Mar 26, 2024 Cearense 2
Guarani de Juazeiro vs Pacatuba
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pacatuba Compare

Top Goalscorer Conrado
2 Goals
Assists Leader Jeremias
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Guarani de Juazeiro Compare

Top Goalscorer Dudu
1 Goals
Assists Leader Italo
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pacatuba 49 / 100
Guarani de Juazeiro 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pacatuba Guarani de Juazeiro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pacatuba Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Guarani de Juazeiro's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 31 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.67 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Pacatuba stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Pacatuba scored in 50% of their last 24 outings.

Scoring Trends

Pacatuba VS Guarani de Juazeiro
1.25 Goals Scored 0.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 38%
50% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Pacatuba

(Home)
19 Sept
Vila Real
1 : 0
Pacatuba
12 Sept
Pacatuba
1 : 1
Vila Real
05 Sept
Pacatuba
2 : 1
Calouros do Ar
30 Aug
Palmacia
2 : 2
Pacatuba
15 Aug
Pacatuba
1 : 0
Esporte Limoeiro
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Guarani de Juazeiro

(Away)
17 May
Caucaia
1 : 2
Guarani de Juazeiro
13 May
Icasa
2 : 1
Guarani de Juazeiro
09 May
Guarani de Juazeiro
2 : 1
Barbalha
26 Apr
Guarani de Juazeiro
1 : 1
Crato
18 Apr
Cariri FC
0 : 1
Guarani de Juazeiro
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Itapipoca 8 6 1 1 15:4 19
2 Maranguape 8 5 1 2 11:4 16
3 Caucaia 8 4 1 3 11:10 13
4 Atletico Cearense 8 1 3 4 8:15 6
5 Tiradentes 8 0 2 6 6:18 2
Promotion - Cearense 2 2025 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Cearense 2 2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Cearense 3 (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Quixada 8 5 1 2 14:11 16
2 Crato 8 3 2 3 13:10 11
3 Guarani de Juazeiro 8 3 2 3 11:14 11
4 Icasa 8 2 5 1 14:7 11
5 Pacatuba 8 1 2 5 9:19 5
Promotion - Cearense 2 2025 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Cearense 2 2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Cearense 3 (Main)