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Paceco vs ACR Messina Prediction & H2H Stats

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Serie D - Group I 2017/2018
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group I 2017/2018 game between Paceco and ACR Messina finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward ACR Messina.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

7%
Paceco
35%
Draws
58%
ACR Messina
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: ACR Messina

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • ACR Messina carry the better recent record into this one.
  • ACR Messina are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Paceco Clean Sheet 20%
ACR Messina Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Paceco ACR Messina
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 4 11
Draws 3 12
Losses 23 9
Goals Scored 0.83 0.94
Goals Conceded 2.2 0.94
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 0.99
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 29, 2018 Serie D - Group I
ACR Messina vs Paceco
5:0
Dec 10, 2017 Serie D - Group I
Paceco vs ACR Messina
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Paceco 10 / 100
ACR Messina 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Paceco ACR Messina

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ACR Messina Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Paceco scored in 63% of their last 30 outings.

ACR Messina's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 32 matches.

Paceco went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS ACR Messina
0 Goals Scored 0.88
0 Goals Conceded 1.5
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Paceco

(Home)
06 May
Paceco
1 : 2
Roccella
29 Apr
ACR Messina
5 : 0
Paceco
22 Apr
Paceco
1 : 2
Troina
15 Apr
AS Acireale
1 : 1
Paceco
08 Apr
Paceco
1 : 3
Gelbison
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ACR Messina

(Away)
10 May
USD Ragusa
0 : 0
ACR Messina
03 May
ACR Messina
1 : 0
Milazzo
26 Apr
Igea Virtus
1 : 1
ACR Messina
19 Apr
Lamezia
1 : 1
ACR Messina
12 Apr
ACR Messina
1 : 0
USD Ragusa
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vibonese 34 22 10 2 67:24 76
2 Troina 34 24 4 6 59:28 76
3 Nocerina 34 20 9 5 50:20 69
4 Vesuvio Ercolanese 34 19 7 8 58:33 64
5 Igea Virtus 34 18 6 10 43:25 60
6 ACR Messina 34 14 11 9 57:39 53
7 Gela 34 13 13 8 56:46 52
8 AS Acireale 34 14 9 11 47:45 51
9 Gelbison 34 11 14 9 36:42 47
10 Cittanovese 34 11 9 14 43:46 42
11 Portici 1906 34 12 6 16 35:44 42
12 Sancataldese 34 11 7 16 40:41 40
13 Roccella 34 10 8 16 41:49 38
14 US Palmese 34 11 10 13 47:54 37
15 Ebolitana 34 6 12 16 32:50 30
16 Pro Palazzolo (Inactive) 34 5 10 19 26:53 25
17 Paceco 34 6 3 25 30:74 20
18 Isola Capo Rizzuto 34 2 6 26 15:69 12
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2017/2018 (Winners stage)
Promotion - Serie D - Group I 2017/2018 (Play Offs)