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Paceco vs Portici 1906

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group I 2017/2018
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group I 2017/2018 game between Paceco and Portici 1906 finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Portici 1906.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Paceco
20%
Draws
40%
Portici 1906
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Portici 1906 come out ahead of Paceco on wins alone.
  • Paceco are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Paceco Clean Sheet 20%
Portici 1906 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Paceco Portici 1906
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 4 12
Draws 3 9
Losses 23 13
Goals Scored 0.83 1.15
Goals Conceded 2.2 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 1.11
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 11, 2018 Serie D - Group I
Paceco vs Portici 1906
1:2
Oct 29, 2017 Serie D - Group I
Portici 1906 vs Paceco
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Paceco 36 / 100
Portici 1906 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Paceco Portici 1906

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Paceco scored in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Portici 1906 conceded in 79% of 34 recent games.

Difficult form: Portici 1906 registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Portici 1906
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Paceco

(Home)
06 May
Paceco
1 : 2
Roccella
29 Apr
ACR Messina
5 : 0
Paceco
22 Apr
Paceco
1 : 2
Troina
15 Apr
AS Acireale
1 : 1
Paceco
08 Apr
Paceco
1 : 3
Gelbison
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Portici 1906

(Away)
05 May
Akragas
1 : 0
Portici 1906
28 Apr
Portici 1906
0 : 1
Vibonese
21 Apr
Castrovillari
1 : 1
Portici 1906
14 Apr
Portici 1906
0 : 5
Trapani
07 Apr
USD Ragusa
4 : 0
Portici 1906
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vibonese 34 22 10 2 67:24 76
2 Troina 34 24 4 6 59:28 76
3 Nocerina 34 20 9 5 50:20 69
4 Vesuvio Ercolanese 34 19 7 8 58:33 64
5 Igea Virtus 34 18 6 10 43:25 60
6 ACR Messina 34 14 11 9 57:39 53
7 Gela 34 13 13 8 56:46 52
8 AS Acireale 34 14 9 11 47:45 51
9 Gelbison 34 11 14 9 36:42 47
10 Cittanovese 34 11 9 14 43:46 42
11 Portici 1906 34 12 6 16 35:44 42
12 Sancataldese 34 11 7 16 40:41 40
13 Roccella 34 10 8 16 41:49 38
14 US Palmese 34 11 10 13 47:54 37
15 Ebolitana 34 6 12 16 32:50 30
16 Pro Palazzolo (Inactive) 34 5 10 19 26:53 25
17 Paceco 34 6 3 25 30:74 20
18 Isola Capo Rizzuto 34 2 6 26 15:69 12
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2017/2018 (Winners stage)
Promotion - Serie D - Group I 2017/2018 (Play Offs)