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Paceco vs Troina - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group I 2017/2018
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group I 2017/2018 game between Paceco and Troina finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Troina.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

10%
Paceco
20%
Draws
70%
Troina
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Troina

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Troina carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Troina are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group I 2017/2018 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Paceco Clean Sheet 20%
Troina Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Paceco Troina
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 4 10
Draws 3 8
Losses 23 13
Goals Scored 0.83 1.16
Goals Conceded 2.2 1.81
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 0.99
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 22, 2018 Serie D - Group I
Paceco vs Troina
1:2
Dec 3, 2017 Serie D - Group I
Troina vs Paceco
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Paceco 10 / 100
Troina 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Paceco Troina

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Troina Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Paceco's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Troina let in goals in 77% of their last 31 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Paceco went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Troina
0 Goals Scored 0.88
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Paceco

(Home)
06 May
Paceco
1 : 2
Roccella
29 Apr
ACR Messina
5 : 0
Paceco
22 Apr
Paceco
1 : 2
Troina
15 Apr
AS Acireale
1 : 1
Paceco
08 Apr
Paceco
1 : 3
Gelbison
Page 1 of 6

Troina

(Away)
22 May
San Luca
4 : 5
Troina
15 May
Troina
0 : 3
Gelbison
08 May
Licata
0 : 0
Troina
04 May
Troina
2 : 1
Castrovillari
01 May
Sancataldese
1 : 0
Troina
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vibonese 34 22 10 2 67:24 76
2 Troina 34 24 4 6 59:28 76
3 Nocerina 34 20 9 5 50:20 69
4 Vesuvio Ercolanese 34 19 7 8 58:33 64
5 Igea Virtus 34 18 6 10 43:25 60
6 ACR Messina 34 14 11 9 57:39 53
7 Gela 34 13 13 8 56:46 52
8 AS Acireale 34 14 9 11 47:45 51
9 Gelbison 34 11 14 9 36:42 47
10 Cittanovese 34 11 9 14 43:46 42
11 Portici 1906 34 12 6 16 35:44 42
12 Sancataldese 34 11 7 16 40:41 40
13 Roccella 34 10 8 16 41:49 38
14 US Palmese 34 11 10 13 47:54 37
15 Ebolitana 34 6 12 16 32:50 30
16 Pro Palazzolo (Inactive) 34 5 10 19 26:53 25
17 Paceco 34 6 3 25 30:74 20
18 Isola Capo Rizzuto 34 2 6 26 15:69 12
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2017/2018 (Winners stage)
Promotion - Serie D - Group I 2017/2018 (Play Offs)