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Pachuca U21 vs Necaxa U21

Mexico Mexico

Liga MX U21 2025/2026
Fri, Jan 23, 2026
3 - 4
03:15 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Liga MX U21 2025/2026 game between Pachuca U21 and Necaxa U21 finished 3-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Necaxa U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Pachuca U21
20%
Draws
44%
Necaxa U21
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Necaxa U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • Pachuca U21 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Pachuca U21 are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 79%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Pachuca U21 Clean Sheet 20%
Necaxa U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pachuca U21 Necaxa U21
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 16 13
Draws 3 0
Losses 12 16
Goals Scored 1.9 1.31
Goals Conceded 1.35 1.62
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 23, 2026 Liga MX U21
Pachuca U21 vs Necaxa U21
3:4
Oct 3, 2025 Liga MX U21
Necaxa U21 vs Pachuca U21
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pachuca U21 58 / 100
Necaxa U21 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pachuca U21 Necaxa U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PAC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Pachuca U21 scored in 94% of their last 31 outings.

Necaxa U21's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 5.00 goals when they meet.

Pachuca U21 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Pachuca U21 VS Necaxa U21
2.25 Goals Scored 1.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Pachuca U21

(Home)
01 Aug
Club Leon U21
3 : 2
Pachuca U21
26 Jul
Pachuca U21
1 : 0
Queretaro U21
18 Jul
UNAM Pumas U21
2 : 1
Pachuca U21
09 May
Club America U21
2 : 2
Pachuca U21
06 May
Pachuca U21
2 : 2
Club America U21
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Necaxa U21

(Away)
02 Aug
Toluca U21
2 : 0
Necaxa U21
26 Jul
Necaxa U21
0 : 3
Monterrey U21
16 Jul
Necaxa U21
2 : 1
Atlante U21
26 Apr
Cruz Azul U21
3 : 1
Necaxa U21
22 Apr
Necaxa U21
2 : 1
Guadalajara Chivas U21
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Club America U21 17 12 0 5 32:20 32
2 Guadalajara Chivas U21 17 10 0 7 26:19 32
3 Juarez U21 17 11 0 6 23:18 32
4 Monterrey U21 17 11 0 6 27:25 30
5 Pachuca U21 17 9 0 8 30:18 29
6 Toluca U21 17 9 0 8 32:22 29
7 Atlas U21 17 10 0 7 21:23 29
8 UNAM Pumas U21 17 11 0 6 23:26 28
9 Club Leon U21 17 9 0 8 18:16 27
10 Necaxa U21 17 10 0 7 23:25 26
11 Tigres UANL U21 17 8 0 9 20:18 24
12 Atletico San Luis U21 17 8 0 9 25:24 24
13 Club Tijuana U21 17 6 0 11 28:23 22
14 Cruz Azul U21 17 7 0 10 17:21 22
15 Puebla U21 17 5 0 12 17:22 20
16 Queretaro U21 17 8 0 9 20:27 20
17 Santos Laguna U21 17 5 0 12 16:25 20
18 Mazatlan FC U21 17 4 0 13 5:31 13
Promotion - Liga MX U21 2025/2026 (Clausura - Play Offs)