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Pachuca U21 vs Puebla U21 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Mexico Mexico

Liga MX U21
Our Tip

Match Events

50' Event
Araiza D.
70'
Hernandez I.

AI Match Summary

The Liga MX U21 game between Pachuca U21 and Puebla U21 finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Puebla U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Pachuca U21
15%
Draws
34%
Puebla U21
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Pachuca U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Puebla U21 haven't matched Pachuca U21's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Liga MX U21 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Puebla U21 have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Pachuca U21 Clean Sheet 68%
Puebla U21 Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pachuca U21 Puebla U21
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 14 11
Draws 2 1
Losses 16 17
Goals Scored 1.66 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.44 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 17, 2026 Liga MX U21
Pachuca U21 vs Puebla U21
0:1
Mar 7, 2026 Liga MX U21
Pachuca U21 vs Puebla U21
0:1
Sep 23, 2025 Liga MX U21
Puebla U21 vs Pachuca U21
0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pachuca U21 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Puebla U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Araiza D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pachuca U21 41 / 100
Puebla U21 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pachuca U21 Puebla U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pachuca U21 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pachuca U21 found the back of the net in 81% of recent matches (32 games).

Puebla U21 let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Puebla U21's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Pachuca U21 VS Puebla U21
1 Goals Scored 0.88
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Pachuca U21

(Home)
21 Oct
Pachuca U21
3 : 1
Cruz Azul U21
18 Oct
Monterrey U21
3 : 2
Pachuca U21
11 Oct
Pachuca U21
0 : 1
Necaxa U21
26 Sept
Santos Laguna U21
2 : 0
Pachuca U21
20 Sept
Pachuca U21
2 : 1
Club Tijuana U21
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Puebla U21

(Away)
21 Oct
Puebla U21
3 : 2
Monterrey U21
16 Oct
Club Tijuana U21
0 : 0
Puebla U21
09 Oct
Puebla U21
1 : 2
Club Leon U21
26 Sept
Tigres UANL U21
2 : 1
Puebla U21
18 Sept
Puebla U21
0 : 1
Atlante U21
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Toluca U21 13 13 0 0 31:9 36
2 Club Leon U21 13 11 0 2 24:14 29
3 Guadalajara Chivas U21 13 7 0 6 20:20 22
4 Club America U21 13 7 0 6 20:17 21
5 Club Tijuana U21 12 7 0 5 18:18 21
6 Santos Laguna U21 13 7 0 6 17:17 21
7 Puebla U21 12 6 0 6 15:13 19
8 UNAM Pumas U21 13 5 0 8 15:17 19
9 Necaxa U21 13 7 0 6 14:17 19
10 Atlante U21 13 6 0 7 19:24 19
11 Atletico San Luis U21 13 7 0 6 24:27 18
12 Monterrey U21 12 6 0 6 24:21 17
13 Pachuca U21 13 4 0 9 15:20 17
14 Atlas U21 13 4 0 9 16:18 16
15 Tigres UANL U21 13 5 0 8 19:24 16
16 Juarez U21 13 5 0 8 11:16 15
17 Cruz Azul U21 13 6 0 7 22:22 14
18 Queretaro U21 12 2 0 10 15:25 6
Promotion - Liga MX U21 (Apertura - Play Offs)