Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Pachuca U21 vs UNAM Pumas U21

Mexico Mexico

Liga MX U21 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
Sigala J.
44' Event
Gamez J.
58' Event
Hernandez C.

AI Match Summary

The Liga MX U21 2025/2026 game between Pachuca U21 and UNAM Pumas U21 finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Pachuca U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Pachuca U21
15%
Draws
28%
UNAM Pumas U21
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Pachuca U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • UNAM Pumas U21 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Pachuca U21's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Pachuca U21 Clean Sheet 19%
UNAM Pumas U21 Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pachuca U21 UNAM Pumas U21
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 13 14
Draws 2 4
Losses 14 12
Goals Scored 1.66 1.37
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 18, 2026 Liga MX U21
UNAM Pumas U21 vs Pachuca U21
2:1
Apr 25, 2026 Liga MX U21
Pachuca U21 vs UNAM Pumas U21
3:0
Nov 22, 2025 Liga MX U21
Pachuca U21 vs UNAM Pumas U21
1:2
Nov 19, 2025 Liga MX U21
UNAM Pumas U21 vs Pachuca U21
2:2
Jul 20, 2025 Liga MX U21
UNAM Pumas U21 vs Pachuca U21
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pachuca U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Sigala J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gamez J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

UNAM Pumas U21 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pachuca U21 40 / 100
UNAM Pumas U21 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pachuca U21 UNAM Pumas U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pachuca U21 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Pachuca U21 scored in 83% of their last 29 outings.

UNAM Pumas U21's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

UNAM Pumas U21's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Pachuca U21 VS UNAM Pumas U21
1.25 Goals Scored 0.88
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Pachuca U21

(Home)
20 Sept
Pachuca U21
2 : 1
Club Tijuana U21
11 Sept
Atlante U21
1 : 0
Pachuca U21
04 Sept
Juarez U21
1 : 2
Pachuca U21
29 Aug
Pachuca U21
2 : 3
Guadalajara Chivas U21
23 Aug
Atletico San Luis U21
1 : 0
Pachuca U21
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UNAM Pumas U21

(Away)
19 Sept
Atlas U21
1 : 2
UNAM Pumas U21
13 Sept
Guadalajara Chivas U21
1 : 0
UNAM Pumas U21
06 Sept
UNAM Pumas U21
1 : 2
Club Leon U21
28 Aug
Club Tijuana U21
2 : 1
UNAM Pumas U21
23 Aug
UNAM Pumas U21
0 : 1
Necaxa U21
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Club America U21 17 12 0 5 32:20 32
2 Guadalajara Chivas U21 17 10 0 7 26:19 32
3 Juarez U21 17 11 0 6 23:18 32
4 Monterrey U21 17 11 0 6 27:25 30
5 Pachuca U21 17 9 0 8 30:18 29
6 Toluca U21 17 9 0 8 32:22 29
7 Atlas U21 17 10 0 7 21:23 29
8 UNAM Pumas U21 17 11 0 6 23:26 28
9 Club Leon U21 17 9 0 8 18:16 27
10 Necaxa U21 17 10 0 7 23:25 26
11 Tigres UANL U21 17 8 0 9 20:18 24
12 Atletico San Luis U21 17 8 0 9 25:24 24
13 Club Tijuana U21 17 6 0 11 28:23 22
14 Cruz Azul U21 17 7 0 10 17:21 22
15 Puebla U21 17 5 0 12 17:22 20
16 Queretaro U21 17 8 0 9 20:27 20
17 Santos Laguna U21 17 5 0 12 16:25 20
18 Mazatlan FC U21 17 4 0 13 5:31 13
Promotion - Liga MX U21 2025/2026 (Clausura - Play Offs)