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Pachuca vs Club Tijuana

Mexico Mexico

Liga MX Estadio Miguel Hidalgo, Pachuca de Soto
Mon, Sep 21, 2026
VS
12:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Pachuca host Club Tijuana in the Liga MX. Form suggests where the edge lies here. Club Tijuana have shipped 1.17 goals a game lately, while Pachuca have conceded 1.03 and scored 1.53. Past meetings favor Club Tijuana slightly — 2-3-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 23, 2026, ending 3:1. The numbers (1.25 xG vs 1.31) point toward Pachuca. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Pachuca
20%
Draws
34%
Club Tijuana
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Pachuca

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Pachuca come out ahead of Club Tijuana on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Pachuca's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Pachuca Clean Sheet 18%
Club Tijuana Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pachuca Club Tijuana
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 16 10
Draws 5 10
Losses 9 9
Goals Scored 1.53 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 23, 2026 Liga MX
Club Tijuana vs Pachuca
3:1
Aug 17, 2025 Liga MX
Pachuca vs Club Tijuana
0:2
Mar 17, 2025 Liga MX
Pachuca vs Club Tijuana
4:1
Oct 5, 2024 Liga MX
Club Tijuana vs Pachuca
2:1
Feb 4, 2024 Liga MX
Pachuca vs Club Tijuana
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pachuca 85 / 100
Club Tijuana 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pachuca Club Tijuana

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pachuca Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pachuca's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.80 goals as a typical output.

Defensive concern: Club Tijuana conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.

Solid form: Pachuca remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Pachuca VS Club Tijuana
1 Goals Scored 1
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Pachuca

(Home)
12 Sept
Atlante
0 : 3
Pachuca
05 Sept
Juarez
0 : 2
Pachuca
29 Aug
Pachuca
1 : 1
Guadalajara Chivas
23 Aug
Atletico San Luis
1 : 1
Pachuca
18 Aug
Pachuca
2 : 3
Puebla
Page 1 of 6

Club Tijuana

(Away)
12 Sept
Club Tijuana
0 : 1
Queretaro
29 Aug
Club Tijuana
2 : 0
UNAM Pumas
22 Aug
Guadalajara Chivas
5 : 2
Club Tijuana
17 Aug
Club Tijuana
2 : 1
Cruz Azul
14 Aug
Portland Timbers
3 : 1
Club Tijuana
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Toluca 8 6 1 1 18:6 19
2 Guadalajara Chivas 8 5 2 1 15:6 17
3 Club America 7 5 1 1 15:6 16
4 Cruz Azul 8 5 0 3 16:14 15
5 Queretaro 7 4 1 2 10:7 13
6 Club Leon 8 4 1 3 11:9 13
7 Club Tijuana 7 4 1 2 10:8 13
8 Puebla 8 4 1 3 10:10 13
9 Atlas 8 4 1 3 12:14 13
10 Pachuca 8 3 2 3 13:8 11
11 UNAM Pumas 8 3 2 3 11:12 11
12 Monterrey 7 3 1 3 13:10 10
13 Necaxa 8 2 2 4 9:13 8
14 Tigres UANL 8 1 4 3 9:11 7
15 Atlante 8 1 4 3 7:12 7
16 Atletico San Luis 8 1 3 4 8:15 6
17 Santos Laguna 8 1 1 6 6:13 4
18 Juarez 8 0 0 8 4:23 0
Promotion - Liga MX (Apertura - Play Offs)