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Pachuca vs Cruz Azul - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Mexico Mexico

Liga MX Estadio Miguel Hidalgo, Pachuca de Soto
Thu, Oct 22, 2026
VS
03:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Pachuca host Cruz Azul in the Liga MX. This one's hard to separate. Cruz Azul have shipped 1.38 goals a game lately, while Pachuca have conceded 1.21 and scored 1.57. Head-to-head, Pachuca have won 2 to Cruz Azul's 3, with 0 draws. They last met on Apr 5, 2026, ending 1:2. The numbers (1.63 xG vs 1.38) point toward Cruz Azul. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Pachuca
35%
Draws
18%
Cruz Azul
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Pachuca

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Cruz Azul have won more games recently than Pachuca.
  • Win probability leans Pachuca's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular Liga MX form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Pachuca Clean Sheet 17%
Cruz Azul Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pachuca Cruz Azul
Matches Played 28 34
Wins 13 16
Draws 6 11
Losses 9 7
Goals Scored 1.57 1.76
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 5, 2026 Liga MX
Cruz Azul vs Pachuca
1:2
Sep 13, 2025 Liga MX
Pachuca vs Cruz Azul
0:1
Feb 9, 2025 Liga MX
Cruz Azul vs Pachuca
2:1
Sep 29, 2024 Liga MX
Pachuca vs Cruz Azul
2:4
Jan 14, 2024 Liga MX
Cruz Azul vs Pachuca
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pachuca 48 / 100
Cruz Azul 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pachuca Cruz Azul

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pachuca Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Pachuca scored in 86% of their last 28 outings.

Defensive concern: Cruz Azul conceded in 82% of 34 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Recent resilience: Pachuca stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Pachuca VS Cruz Azul
1.75 Goals Scored 1.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Pachuca

(Home)
11 Oct
Pachuca
3 : 3
Necaxa
27 Sept
Santos Laguna
1 : 0
Pachuca
21 Sept
Pachuca
2 : 2
Club Tijuana
12 Sept
Atlante
0 : 3
Pachuca
05 Sept
Juarez
0 : 2
Pachuca
Page 1 of 6

Cruz Azul

(Away)
12 Oct
UNAM Pumas
3 : 3
Cruz Azul
02 Oct
Club America
0 : 0
Cruz Azul
26 Sept
Cruz Azul
3 : 3
Toluca
20 Sept
Monterrey
1 : 0
Cruz Azul
17 Sept
Inter Miami
2 : 0
Cruz Azul
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Club America 10 6 3 1 22:11 21
2 Toluca 11 6 2 3 25:15 20
3 Queretaro 10 6 2 2 15:8 20
4 Guadalajara Chivas 11 5 4 2 18:11 19
5 Club Leon 11 5 3 3 15:12 18
6 Atlas 11 5 3 3 17:18 18
7 Cruz Azul 11 5 2 4 22:21 17
8 Club Tijuana 10 4 3 3 15:14 15
9 Puebla 11 4 3 4 12:13 15
10 Monterrey 10 4 2 4 17:15 14
11 Pachuca 11 3 4 4 18:14 13
12 UNAM Pumas 11 3 4 4 17:19 13
13 Tigres UANL 11 3 4 4 13:15 13
14 Santos Laguna 11 4 1 6 12:16 13
15 Atletico San Luis 11 3 3 5 15:20 12
16 Atlante 11 2 5 4 12:17 11
17 Necaxa 11 2 3 6 15:23 9
18 Juarez 11 1 1 9 8:26 4
Promotion - Liga MX (Apertura - Play Offs)