Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Pachuca vs Puebla

Mexico Mexico

Liga MX Estadio Miguel Hidalgo, Pachuca de Soto
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Gomez E.
Assist: Mustre E.
33' Event
Velasco K.
(Penalty)
42' Event
Rondon S.
Assist: Sanchez C.

AI Match Summary

Puebla in this Liga MX matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Puebla.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Pachuca
15%
Draws
49%
Puebla
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Puebla

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • Puebla haven't matched Pachuca's recent run of results.
  • Pachuca are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Pachuca Clean Sheet 15%
Puebla Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pachuca Puebla
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 15 8
Draws 4 5
Losses 10 15
Goals Scored 1.41 1.18
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.79
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 18, 2026 Liga MX
Pachuca vs Puebla
2:3
Jul 4, 2026 Club Friendly
Pachuca vs Puebla
3:1
Mar 8, 2026 Liga MX
Pachuca vs Puebla
2:1
Sep 24, 2025 Liga MX
Puebla vs Pachuca
2:2
Feb 27, 2025 Liga MX
Pachuca vs Puebla
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pachuca Compare

Top Goalscorer Rondon S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Puebla Compare

Top Goalscorer Gomez E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Almada F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pachuca 48 / 100
Puebla 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pachuca Puebla

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pachuca Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Puebla conceded in 82% of 28 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.80 goals as a typical output.

Pachuca found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).

Puebla lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Pachuca VS Puebla
1.5 Goals Scored 1.63
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Pachuca

(Home)
18 Aug
Pachuca
2 : 3
Puebla
11 Aug
Charlotte FC
0 : 1
Pachuca
07 Aug
Columbus Crew
2 : 1
Pachuca
04 Aug
FC Cincinnati
3 : 1
Pachuca
02 Aug
Club Leon
1 : 0
Pachuca
Page 1 of 6

Puebla

(Away)
18 Aug
Pachuca
2 : 3
Puebla
13 Aug
San Diego FC
3 : 2
Puebla
10 Aug
Austin FC
3 : 0
Puebla
07 Aug
Portland Timbers
5 : 2
Puebla
01 Aug
Puebla
1 : 1
Guadalajara Chivas
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Club America 5 4 1 0 10:2 13
2 Atlas 5 4 0 1 8:5 12
3 Toluca 5 3 1 1 8:4 10
4 Guadalajara Chivas 5 3 1 1 8:5 10
5 Puebla 5 3 1 1 9:7 10
6 Club Tijuana 5 3 1 1 8:7 10
7 Monterrey 5 3 0 2 12:7 9
8 Club Leon 5 3 0 2 7:5 9
9 UNAM Pumas 4 2 1 1 7:5 7
10 Queretaro 5 2 1 2 6:6 7
11 Necaxa 4 2 0 2 6:7 6
12 Cruz Azul 5 2 0 3 8:10 6
13 Atlante 5 1 2 2 5:7 5
14 Tigres UANL 5 1 1 3 8:10 4
15 Pachuca 4 1 0 3 6:6 3
16 Atletico San Luis 4 0 2 2 4:8 2
17 Santos Laguna 5 0 0 5 4:11 0
18 Juarez 5 0 0 5 3:15 0
Promotion - Liga MX (Apertura - Play Offs)