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Pachuca vs Puebla - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Mexico Mexico

Liga MX Estadio Miguel Hidalgo, Pachuca de Soto
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Gomez E.
Assist: Mustre E.
33' Event
Velasco K.
(Penalty)
42' Event
Rondon S.
Assist: Sanchez C.

AI Match Summary

Puebla in this Liga MX matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Puebla.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Pachuca
30%
Draws
23%
Puebla
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Pachuca

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Puebla haven't matched Pachuca's recent run of results.
  • Pachuca are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Pachuca Clean Sheet 20%
Puebla Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pachuca Puebla
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 6
Draws 5 6
Losses 11 17
Goals Scored 1.55 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.28 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 18, 2026 Liga MX
Pachuca vs Puebla
2:3
Jul 4, 2026 Club Friendly
Pachuca vs Puebla
3:1
Mar 8, 2026 Liga MX
Pachuca vs Puebla
2:1
Sep 24, 2025 Liga MX
Puebla vs Pachuca
2:2
Feb 27, 2025 Liga MX
Pachuca vs Puebla
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pachuca Compare

Top Goalscorer Rondon S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Puebla Compare

Top Goalscorer Gomez E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Almada F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pachuca 67 / 100
Puebla 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pachuca Puebla

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pachuca Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pachuca found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (29 games).

Puebla has conceded goals in 86% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.80 goals per match.

Puebla lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Pachuca VS Puebla
1.75 Goals Scored 0.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Pachuca

(Home)
26 Oct
Club America
1 : 2
Pachuca
22 Oct
Pachuca
1 : 2
Cruz Azul
19 Oct
Monterrey
2 : 1
Pachuca
11 Oct
Pachuca
3 : 3
Necaxa
27 Sept
Santos Laguna
1 : 0
Pachuca
Page 1 of 6

Puebla

(Away)
31 Oct
Puebla
1 : 2
UNAM Pumas
25 Oct
Atlas
4 : 3
Puebla
22 Oct
Puebla
1 : 4
Monterrey
17 Oct
Club Tijuana
0 : 0
Puebla
10 Oct
Puebla
1 : 1
Club Leon
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Club America 14 8 4 2 34:19 28
2 Atlas 15 8 3 4 26:26 27
3 Cruz Azul 14 8 2 4 32:23 26
4 Guadalajara Chivas 14 7 5 2 21:12 26
5 Toluca 14 6 5 3 29:19 23
6 Club Leon 14 6 4 4 21:18 22
7 Club Tijuana 14 5 6 3 22:18 21
8 Monterrey 13 6 2 5 23:18 20
9 UNAM Pumas 15 5 5 5 22:24 20
10 Queretaro 14 6 2 6 18:21 20
11 Pachuca 15 5 4 6 25:19 19
12 Santos Laguna 14 6 1 7 20:20 19
13 Atletico San Luis 15 5 4 6 19:23 19
14 Puebla 15 4 4 7 17:23 16
15 Tigres UANL 15 3 6 6 15:22 15
16 Atlante 14 3 5 6 14:20 14
17 Necaxa 14 2 4 8 16:27 10
18 Juarez 15 2 2 11 12:34 8
Promotion - Liga MX (Apertura - Play Offs)