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Pachuca vs Tigres UANL - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Mexico Mexico

Liga MX Estadio Miguel Hidalgo, Pachuca de Soto
Sat, Oct 31, 2026
VS
11:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Pachuca host Tigres UANL in the Liga MX. This one's hard to separate. Tigres UANL have shipped 1.19 goals a game lately, while Pachuca have conceded 1.24 and scored 1.55. Head-to-head, Pachuca have won 1 to Tigres UANL's 3, with 1 draws. They last met on Feb 21, 2026, ending 1:2. Model xG sits at 1.19 vs 1.13, favoring Pachuca. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Pachuca
30%
Draws
41%
Tigres UANL
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Tigres UANL

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Pachuca lately — more wins on the board than Tigres UANL.
  • Win probability leans Pachuca's way, sitting at 42%.
  • Regular Liga MX form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Pachuca Clean Sheet 20%
Tigres UANL Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pachuca Tigres UANL
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 13 12
Draws 6 9
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 1.55 1.28
Goals Conceded 1.24 1.19
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 21, 2026 Liga MX
Tigres UANL vs Pachuca
1:2
Oct 23, 2025 Liga MX
Pachuca vs Tigres UANL
1:2
Apr 16, 2025 Liga MX
Pachuca vs Tigres UANL
0:0
Oct 27, 2024 Liga MX
Tigres UANL vs Pachuca
2:1
Aug 9, 2024 Leagues Cup
Tigres UANL vs Pachuca
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pachuca 42 / 100
Tigres UANL 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pachuca Tigres UANL

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pachuca scored in 86% of their last 29 games.

Tigres UANL let in goals in 69% of their last 32 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Pachuca stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Pachuca VS Tigres UANL
1.63 Goals Scored 1
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Pachuca

(Home)
19 Oct
Monterrey
2 : 1
Pachuca
11 Oct
Pachuca
3 : 3
Necaxa
27 Sept
Santos Laguna
1 : 0
Pachuca
21 Sept
Pachuca
2 : 2
Club Tijuana
12 Sept
Atlante
0 : 3
Pachuca
Page 1 of 6

Tigres UANL

(Away)
21 Oct
Tigres UANL
0 : 2
Club Leon
17 Oct
Guadalajara Chivas
1 : 1
Tigres UANL
10 Oct
Tigres UANL
3 : 2
Toluca
27 Sept
Tigres UANL
1 : 0
Puebla
19 Sept
Juarez
2 : 0
Tigres UANL
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Club America 11 7 3 1 27:14 24
2 Guadalajara Chivas 13 6 5 2 20:12 23
3 Toluca 12 6 3 3 26:16 21
4 Club Leon 13 6 3 4 20:17 21
5 Atlas 12 6 3 3 19:18 21
6 Cruz Azul 12 6 2 4 27:21 20
7 Queretaro 12 6 2 4 16:15 20
8 Monterrey 11 5 2 4 19:16 17
9 Santos Laguna 12 5 1 6 17:16 16
10 Club Tijuana 11 4 4 3 15:14 16
11 UNAM Pumas 12 4 4 4 19:20 16
12 Puebla 12 4 4 4 12:13 16
13 Atletico San Luis 13 4 4 5 18:22 16
14 Tigres UANL 13 3 5 5 14:18 14
15 Atlante 13 3 5 5 14:19 14
16 Pachuca 12 3 4 5 19:16 13
17 Necaxa 13 2 3 8 15:26 9
18 Juarez 13 1 1 11 8:32 4
Promotion - Liga MX (Apertura - Play Offs)