Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Pachuca vs UNAM Pumas

Mexico Mexico

Liga MX 2025/2026 Estadio Miguel Hidalgo, Pachuca de Soto
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Antuna U.
Assist: Morales R.
6'
Lopez R.
6'
Garcia Caprizo B. A.

AI Match Summary

UNAM Pumas in this Liga MX 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored UNAM Pumas.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Pachuca
35%
Draws
23%
UNAM Pumas
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Pachuca

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Pachuca have won more games recently than UNAM Pumas.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Pachuca taking it.
  • Regular Liga MX 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Pachuca Clean Sheet 20%
UNAM Pumas Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pachuca UNAM Pumas
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 17 12
Draws 5 8
Losses 9 9
Goals Scored 1.68 1.52
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 18, 2026 Liga MX
UNAM Pumas vs Pachuca
0:3
May 18, 2026 Liga MX
UNAM Pumas vs Pachuca
1:0
May 15, 2026 Liga MX
Pachuca vs UNAM Pumas
1:0
Apr 25, 2026 Liga MX
Pachuca vs UNAM Pumas
0:2
Nov 21, 2025 Liga MX
Pachuca vs UNAM Pumas
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pachuca Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

UNAM Pumas Compare

Top Goalscorer Antuna U.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pachuca 85 / 100
UNAM Pumas 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pachuca UNAM Pumas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pachuca Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pachuca found the back of the net in 87% of recent matches (31 games).

Pachuca has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

UNAM Pumas's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Pachuca VS UNAM Pumas
1.5 Goals Scored 0.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Pachuca

(Home)
21 Sept
Pachuca
2 : 2
Club Tijuana
12 Sept
Atlante
0 : 3
Pachuca
05 Sept
Juarez
0 : 2
Pachuca
29 Aug
Pachuca
1 : 1
Guadalajara Chivas
23 Aug
Atletico San Luis
1 : 1
Pachuca
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UNAM Pumas

(Away)
19 Sept
Atlas
1 : 1
UNAM Pumas
14 Sept
Guadalajara Chivas
3 : 0
UNAM Pumas
11 Sept
UNAM Pumas
3 : 1
Club Leon
29 Aug
Club Tijuana
2 : 0
UNAM Pumas
24 Aug
UNAM Pumas
1 : 1
Necaxa
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 UNAM Pumas 17 10 6 1 34:17 36
2 Guadalajara Chivas 17 11 3 3 33:17 36
3 Cruz Azul 17 9 6 2 31:18 33
4 Pachuca 17 9 4 4 25:19 31
5 Toluca 17 8 6 3 28:16 30
6 Atlas 17 7 5 5 16:18 26
7 Tigres UANL 17 7 4 6 28:18 25
8 Club America 17 7 4 6 20:17 25
9 Club Tijuana 17 5 8 4 19:17 23
10 Club Leon 17 7 1 9 22:32 22
11 Queretaro 17 4 8 5 17:21 20
12 Juarez 17 5 4 8 26:32 19
13 Monterrey 17 5 3 9 22:24 18
14 Atletico San Luis 17 5 3 9 24:27 18
15 Necaxa 17 5 3 9 19:25 18
16 Mazatlan FC 17 4 3 10 22:37 15
17 Puebla 17 3 4 10 13:26 13
18 Santos Laguna 17 3 3 11 20:38 12
Promotion - Liga MX 2025/2026 (Clausura - Play Offs)