Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Pachuca vs UNAM Pumas

Mexico Mexico

Liga MX 2025/2026 Estadio Miguel Hidalgo, Pachuca de Soto
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Antuna U.
Assist: Morales R.
6'
Lopez R.
6'
Garcia Caprizo B. A.

AI Match Summary

UNAM Pumas in this Liga MX 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored UNAM Pumas.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Pachuca
28%
Draws
22%
UNAM Pumas
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Pachuca

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Pachuca have won more games recently than UNAM Pumas.
  • 50% — that's where the model lands on Pachuca taking it.
  • Regular Liga MX 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Pachuca Clean Sheet 20%
UNAM Pumas Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pachuca UNAM Pumas
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 16 14
Draws 4 8
Losses 9 7
Goals Scored 1.38 1.25
Goals Conceded 0.75 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 18, 2026 Liga MX
UNAM Pumas vs Pachuca
0:3
May 18, 2026 Liga MX
UNAM Pumas vs Pachuca
1:0
May 15, 2026 Liga MX
Pachuca vs UNAM Pumas
1:0
Apr 25, 2026 Liga MX
Pachuca vs UNAM Pumas
0:2
Nov 21, 2025 Liga MX
Pachuca vs UNAM Pumas
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pachuca Compare

Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

UNAM Pumas Compare

Top Goalscorer Antuna U.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pachuca 49 / 100
UNAM Pumas 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pachuca UNAM Pumas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PAC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pachuca found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).

UNAM Pumas has conceded goals in 66% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Pachuca has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Pachuca VS UNAM Pumas
1.38 Goals Scored 1.25
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Pachuca

(Home)
27 Jul
Pachuca
1 : 2
Queretaro
18 Jul
UNAM Pumas
0 : 3
Pachuca
04 Jul
Pachuca
3 : 1
Puebla
18 May
UNAM Pumas
1 : 0
Pachuca
15 May
Pachuca
1 : 0
UNAM Pumas
Page 1 of 6

UNAM Pumas

(Away)
22 Jul
Toluca
1 : 2
UNAM Pumas
18 Jul
UNAM Pumas
0 : 3
Pachuca
12 Jul
UNAM Pumas
0 : 1
America De Cali
05 Jul
Cancun
0 : 3
UNAM Pumas
25 May
UNAM Pumas
1 : 2
Cruz Azul
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1UNAM Pumas17106134:1736
2Guadalajara Chivas17113333:1736
3Cruz Azul1796231:1833
4Pachuca1794425:1931
5Toluca1786328:1630
6Atlas1775516:1826
7Tigres UANL1774628:1825
8Club America1774620:1725
9Club Tijuana1758419:1723
10Club Leon1771922:3222
11Queretaro1748517:2120
12Juarez1754826:3219
13Monterrey1753922:2418
14Atletico San Luis1753924:2718
15Necaxa1753919:2518
16Mazatlan FC17431022:3715
17Puebla17341013:2613
18Santos Laguna17331120:3812
Promotion - Liga MX 2025/2026 (Clausura - Play Offs)