Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Pachuca W vs Club Leon W

Mexico Mexico

Liga MX Women Estadio Miguel Hidalgo
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Pereira A.
9' Event
Nieto K.
21' Event
Soto K.

AI Match Summary

The Liga MX Women game between Pachuca W and Club Leon W finished 5-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Pachuca W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Pachuca W
28%
Draws
22%
Club Leon W
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Pachuca W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Club Leon W haven't matched Pachuca W's recent run of results.
  • Pachuca W are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Pachuca W have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 79%
Over 3.5 Goals 48%
Over 4.5 Goals 22%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Pachuca W Clean Sheet 68%
Club Leon W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pachuca W Club Leon W
Matches Played 35 30
Wins 22 11
Draws 6 5
Losses 7 14
Goals Scored 2.13 2.29
Goals Conceded 1.38 2.71
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 2.29
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 2.71

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 6, 2026 Liga MX Women
Pachuca W vs Club Leon W
5:4
Oct 10, 2025 Liga MX Women
Club Leon W vs Pachuca W
2:5
Feb 8, 2025 Liga MX Women
Club Leon W vs Pachuca W
0:2
Aug 18, 2024 Liga MX Women
Pachuca W vs Club Leon W
1:0
May 13, 2024 Liga MX Women
Pachuca W vs Club Leon W
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pachuca W Compare

Top Goalscorer Pereira A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Nieto K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Club Leon W Compare

Top Goalscorer Soto K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pinilla F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.08
Avg xA / game 1.27

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pachuca W 59 / 100
Club Leon W 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pachuca W Club Leon W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PAC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pachuca W found the back of the net in 89% of recent matches (35 games).

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Defensive concern: Club Leon W conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

Pachuca W went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Pachuca W VS Club Leon W
2.13 Goals Scored 2.29
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.71
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
25% Over 3.5 71%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Club America W17133144:1342
2Monterrey W17124139:840
3Tigres UANL W17114241:1337
4Pachuca W17113346:1536
5Guadalajara Chivas W1797127:1334
6Toluca W17103438:2633
7Cruz Azul W1794438:1931
8Juarez W1785427:1829
9Club Tijuana W1784531:2328
10UNAM Pumas W1764723:2922
11Atletico San Luis W1763820:3221
12Mazatlan FC W1753919:2718
13Club Leon W1744932:3516
14Atlas W17331122:4012
15Puebla W17321211:4611
16Santos Laguna W17231214:299
17Queretaro W17121411:465
18Necaxa W17111511:624