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Pachuca W vs Guadalajara Chivas W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Mexico Mexico

Liga MX Women Estadio Miguel Hidalgo, Pachuca de Soto
Our Tip

Match Events

28'
Minota Y.
34' Event
Caicedo K.
Own Goal
56'
Sub
Eudimilla In: Ihezuo C.
Out: Eudimilla

AI Match Summary

Pachuca W in this Liga MX Women matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Pachuca W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

17%
Pachuca W
15%
Draws
68%
Guadalajara Chivas W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Guadalajara Chivas W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

68% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Guadalajara Chivas W lately — more wins on the board than Pachuca W.
  • Guadalajara Chivas W are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Liga MX Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Pachuca W Clean Sheet 10%
Guadalajara Chivas W Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pachuca W Guadalajara Chivas W
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 16 17
Draws 4 7
Losses 11 5
Goals Scored 2.19 1.72
Goals Conceded 1.19 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 23, 2026 Liga MX Women
Pachuca W vs Guadalajara Chivas W
3:1
May 4, 2026 Liga MX Women
Pachuca W vs Guadalajara Chivas W
2:0
May 1, 2026 Liga MX Women
Guadalajara Chivas W vs Pachuca W
2:1
Mar 15, 2026 Liga MX Women
Guadalajara Chivas W vs Pachuca W
1:1
Oct 20, 2025 Liga MX Women
Pachuca W vs Guadalajara Chivas W
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pachuca W Compare

Top Goalscorer Minota Y.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ihezuo C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Guadalajara Chivas W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pachuca W 10 / 100
Guadalajara Chivas W 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pachuca W Guadalajara Chivas W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Guadalajara Chivas W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pachuca W found the back of the net in 84% of recent matches (31 games).

Defensive concern: Guadalajara Chivas W conceded in 62% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Pachuca W has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Pachuca W VS Guadalajara Chivas W
1.13 Goals Scored 2.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Pachuca W

(Home)
05 Oct
Pachuca W
1 : 2
Toluca W
26 Sept
Pachuca W
4 : 1
Santos Laguna W
20 Sept
Atletico San Luis W
2 : 1
Pachuca W
15 Sept
Pachuca W
0 : 1
Club Leon W
06 Sept
Club Tijuana W
3 : 1
Pachuca W
Page 1 of 7

Guadalajara Chivas W

(Away)
04 Oct
Guadalajara Chivas W
1 : 0
Juarez W
26 Sept
Cruz Azul W
0 : 1
Guadalajara Chivas W
19 Sept
Club Tijuana W
0 : 2
Guadalajara Chivas W
12 Sept
Guadalajara Chivas W
2 : 3
Monterrey W
05 Sept
Atlas W
0 : 4
Guadalajara Chivas W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Monterrey W 10 9 0 1 39:13 27
2 Tigres UANL W 10 8 1 1 32:10 25
3 Toluca W 10 7 1 2 25:16 22
4 Juarez W 10 7 0 3 14:7 21
5 Santos Laguna W 10 5 0 5 13:20 15
6 Cruz Azul W 10 5 0 5 13:21 15
7 Club Leon W 9 4 0 5 15:17 12
8 Atlante W 10 2 1 7 6:13 7
9 Queretaro W 10 2 0 8 10:22 6
Promotion - Liga MX Women (Apertura - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Club America W 10 8 1 1 45:11 25
2 Guadalajara Chivas W 10 7 0 3 21:11 21
3 Atletico San Luis W 10 6 1 3 23:16 19
4 UNAM Pumas W 10 4 1 5 18:17 13
5 Atlas W 9 3 3 3 10:17 12
6 Pachuca W 10 3 1 6 14:15 10
7 Club Tijuana W 10 3 0 7 13:24 9
8 Puebla W 10 1 0 9 13:39 3
9 Necaxa W 10 0 0 10 3:38 0
Promotion - Liga MX Women (Apertura - Play Offs)