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Pacific FC vs Supra du Quebec - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Canada Canada

Canadian Premier League Starlight Stadium, Langford, BC
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Match Events

20' Event
Bustos M.
Assist: Gomulka T.
42'
Heard J.
44'
Kwemi L. A.

AI Match Summary

Supra du Quebec in this Canadian Premier League matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Supra du Quebec.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Pacific FC
20%
Draws
57%
Supra du Quebec
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Supra du Quebec

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Pacific FC haven't matched Supra du Quebec's recent run of results.
  • 57% — that's where the model lands on Supra du Quebec taking it.
  • Regular Canadian Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Supra du Quebec have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.2%
Pacific FC Clean Sheet 10%
Supra du Quebec Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pacific FC Supra du Quebec
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 2 11
Draws 9 7
Losses 17 12
Goals Scored 1.21 1.67
Goals Conceded 2.29 1.77
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 4, 2026 Canadian Premier League
Supra du Quebec vs Pacific FC
5:0
Aug 1, 2026 Canadian Premier League
Pacific FC vs Supra du Quebec
1:2
Jun 6, 2026 Canadian Premier League
Supra du Quebec vs Pacific FC
1:1
Apr 11, 2026 Canadian Premier League
Pacific FC vs Supra du Quebec
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pacific FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Bustos M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Supra du Quebec Compare

Top Goalscorer Mlah S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pacific FC 10 / 100
Supra du Quebec 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pacific FC Supra du Quebec

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Supra du Quebec Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Supra du Quebec's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 3.75 goals as a typical output.

Pacific FC found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (28 games).

Pacific FC went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Pacific FC VS Supra du Quebec
1.5 Goals Scored 1.38
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Pacific FC

(Home)
07 Oct
Forge FC
3 : 0
Pacific FC
04 Oct
Supra du Quebec
5 : 0
Pacific FC
27 Sept
Inter Toronto
3 : 4
Pacific FC
20 Sept
Pacific FC
1 : 1
Vancouver FC
13 Sept
Pacific FC
0 : 1
Cavalry
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Supra du Quebec

(Away)
10 Oct
Supra du Quebec
2 : 2
Vancouver FC
07 Oct
Inter Toronto
1 : 2
Supra du Quebec
04 Oct
Supra du Quebec
5 : 0
Pacific FC
26 Sept
Cavalry
6 : 0
Supra du Quebec
20 Sept
Atletico Ottawa
0 : 2
Supra du Quebec
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cavalry 25 16 5 4 51:19 53
2 Forge FC 25 15 6 4 41:20 51
3 Atletico Ottawa 25 12 4 9 38:41 40
4 Vancouver FC 26 9 7 10 37:35 34
5 Supra du Quebec 26 9 5 12 40:47 32
6 HFX Wanderers 25 7 6 12 38:42 27
7 Inter Toronto 25 6 9 10 40:56 27
8 Pacific FC 25 2 8 15 30:55 14
Promotion - Canadian Premier League (Play Offs)