Sport Picks
Pacos Ferreira vs Sao Joao de Ver - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Portugal
Liga 3 Estádio da Capital do Móvel, Paços de Ferreira 
Match Events
14'
14'
Platiny
40'
40'
Morais B.
42'
42'
Soares L.
Assist: Vilela M.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Liga 3 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
33%
35%
32%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
35%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Sao Joao de Ver lately — more wins on the board than Pacos Ferreira.
- 36% — that's where the model lands on Pacos Ferreira taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 33%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Pacos Ferreira Clean Sheet 20%
Sao Joao de Ver Clean Sheet 17%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Pacos Ferreira | Sao Joao de Ver |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 7 | 8 |
| Draws | 9 | 11 |
| Losses | 13 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 0.86 | 0.86 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.48 | 1.03 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.88 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 13, 2026 Liga 3
Pacos Ferreira vs Sao Joao de Ver
1:1
Oct 17, 2010 Taça de Portugal
Pacos Ferreira vs Sao Joao de Ver
3:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Pacos Ferreira Compare
Top Goalscorer Joao Pedro
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44
Sao Joao de Ver Compare
Top Goalscorer Soares L.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Pacos Ferreira 36 / 100
Sao Joao de Ver 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Pacos Ferreira Sao Joao de Ver
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Sao Joao de Ver conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.
These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.
Sao Joao de Ver lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Attacking prowess: Pacos Ferreira scored in 52% of their last 29 outings.
Scoring Trends
Pacos Ferreira VS Sao Joao de Ver
0.75 Goals Scored 0.75
1.63 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Pacos Ferreira
(Home) 13 Sept
Pacos Ferreira
1 : 1 Sao Joao de Ver
05 Sept
SC Vianense
2 : 2 Pacos Ferreira
29 Aug
Pacos Ferreira
0 : 1 AD Fafe
22 Aug
Pacos Ferreira
1 : 4 Varzim
15 Aug
Pacos Ferreira
0 : 1 Paredes
Page 1 of 6
13 Sept
Pacos Ferreira
1 : 1 Sao Joao de Ver
29 Aug
Pacos Ferreira
0 : 1 AD Fafe
22 Aug
Pacos Ferreira
1 : 4 Varzim
15 Aug
Pacos Ferreira
0 : 1 Paredes
29 Jul
Pacos Ferreira
0 : 0 FC Felgueiras
Page 1 of 4
Sao Joao de Ver
(Away) 13 Sept
Pacos Ferreira
1 : 1 Sao Joao de Ver
06 Sept
Sao Joao de Ver
0 : 0 AD Marco 09
30 Aug
Florgrade
1 : 0 Sao Joao de Ver
22 Aug
Trofense
1 : 0 Sao Joao de Ver
16 Aug
Sao Joao de Ver
1 : 3 AD Fafe
Page 1 of 6
13 Sept
Pacos Ferreira
1 : 1 Sao Joao de Ver
30 Aug
Florgrade
1 : 0 Sao Joao de Ver
22 Aug
Trofense
1 : 0 Sao Joao de Ver
09 Aug
Leca
1 : 1 Sao Joao de Ver
29 Jul
Tondela
1 : 1 Sao Joao de Ver
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paredes | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 11:7 | 13 |
| 2 | Leca | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9:8 | 10 |
| 3 | AD Marco 09 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6:5 | 10 |
| 4 | SC Vianense | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 9:8 | 9 |
| 5 | Varzim | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8:5 | 9 |
| 6 | AD Fafe | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8:4 | 8 |
| 7 | Vitoria Guimaraes B | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4:5 | 5 |
| 8 | Trofense | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2:7 | 4 |
| 9 | Sao Joao de Ver | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3:6 | 3 |
| 10 | Pacos Ferreira | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5:10 | 2 |
Promotion - Liga 3 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Liga 3 (Relegation Group)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CF Os Belenenses | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 15:4 | 16 |
| 2 | Atletico CP | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8:3 | 10 |
| 3 | Oliveirense | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 7:7 | 9 |
| 4 | Mafra | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 11:7 | 8 |
| 5 | Louletano | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7:8 | 7 |
| 6 | Santarem | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6:10 | 7 |
| 7 | Caldas SC | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5:5 | 7 |
| 8 | Covilha | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 4:6 | 6 |
| 9 | Lusitano GC | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4:8 | 5 |
| 10 | Vitoria Sernache | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4:13 | 4 |
Promotion - Liga 3 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Liga 3 (Relegation Group)
