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Pacy Eure vs Caen II

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CFA - Group D 2011/2012
Pacy Eure Logo

Pacy Eure

2 - 1
FT
Caen II Logo

Caen II

Our Tip

Match Events

44' Event
59' Event
90' Event
(Penalty)
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The CFA - Group D 2011/2012 game between Pacy Eure and Caen II finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Pacy Eure.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Pacy Eure
30%
Draws
31%
Caen II
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Pacy Eure

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Pacy Eure carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 39% — that's where the model lands on Pacy Eure taking it.
  • Regular CFA - Group D 2011/2012 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Pacy Eure Clean Sheet 17%
Caen II Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pacy Eure Caen II
Matches Played 32 38
Wins 10 8
Draws 7 11
Losses 15 19
Goals Scored 1.06 1.24
Goals Conceded 1.56 1.89
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.43
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 7, 2012 National 2 - Group D
Pacy Eure vs Caen II
2:1
Nov 5, 2011 National 2 - Group D
Caen II vs Pacy Eure
1:0
Feb 17, 2008 National 1 - Group A
Caen II vs Pacy Eure
0:0
Sep 1, 2007 National 1 - Group A
Pacy Eure vs Caen II
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pacy Eure 57 / 100
Caen II 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pacy Eure Caen II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pacy Eure Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Caen II's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 38 matches.

Pacy Eure's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.25 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Pacy Eure stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Caen II
0 Goals Scored 1.75
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Pacy Eure

(Home)
02 Jun
La Vitreenne
0 : 1
Pacy Eure
26 May
Pacy Eure
1 : 1
Pontivy
19 May
Les Herbiers
3 : 1
Pacy Eure
12 May
Pacy Eure
2 : 2
Fontenay
04 May
Romorantin
3 : 1
Pacy Eure
Page 1 of 7

Caen II

(Away)
03 Jun
Vannes
5 : 0
Caen II
27 May
Caen II
0 : 0
Racing Club de France
13 May
Chambly
2 : 0
Caen II
06 May
Caen II
3 : 1
Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant
29 Apr
Saint-Pryve
3 : 2
Caen II
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Carquefou 34 21 8 5 52:23 105
2 Lucon 34 21 8 5 63:38 105
3 Avranches 34 19 6 9 53:33 97
4 Plabennec 34 15 11 8 55:41 90
5 Romorantin 34 16 7 11 58:33 89
6 Les Herbiers 34 14 9 11 40:40 85
7 Concarneau 34 13 7 14 49:44 80
8 Mantes 34 13 7 14 45:44 79
9 Saumur Olympique 34 11 10 13 38:43 77
10 Le Havre II 34 12 7 15 46:55 77
11 Viry-Chatillon 34 12 5 17 43:45 75
12 Le Mans II 34 10 11 13 41:47 75
13 Fontenay 34 10 9 15 30:43 73
14 Pacy Eure 34 10 9 15 34:49 73
15 Caen II 34 9 11 14 34:42 72
16 Pontivy 34 8 13 13 29:37 71
17 Lorient II 34 9 9 16 38:55 70
18 La Vitreenne 34 5 9 20 24:60 57
Promotion - National 2012/2013 (Main)