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Paderborn II vs Bonner

Germany Germany

Regionalliga West
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Santo J.
67' Event
Stublla S.

AI Match Summary

The Regionalliga West game between Paderborn II and Bonner finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Paderborn II
35%
Draws
42%
Bonner
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Bonner

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Bonner haven't matched Paderborn II's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Paderborn II Clean Sheet 11%
Bonner Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Paderborn II Bonner
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 12 8
Draws 7 10
Losses 9 11
Goals Scored 1.75 1.45
Goals Conceded 1.36 1.62
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 23, 2026 Regionalliga West
Paderborn II vs Bonner
1:1
Apr 24, 2026 Regionalliga West
Bonner vs Paderborn II
1:1
Nov 2, 2025 Regionalliga West
Paderborn II vs Bonner
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Paderborn II Compare

Top Goalscorer Stublla S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Bonner Compare

Top Goalscorer Santo J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Paderborn II 30 / 100
Bonner 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Paderborn II Bonner

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bonner let in goals in 86% of their last 29 matches.

Paderborn II found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (28 games).

Games between these two average 2.67 goals.

Paderborn II went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Paderborn II VS Bonner
1.88 Goals Scored 1.63
2 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Paderborn II

(Home)
12 Sept
Wiedenbruck
1 : 0
Paderborn II
06 Sept
Paderborn II
5 : 2
SG Wattenscheid
02 Sept
Siegen
2 : 2
Paderborn II
29 Aug
Paderborn II
2 : 4
Bocholt
23 Aug
Paderborn II
1 : 1
Bonner
Page 1 of 6

Bonner

(Away)
19 Sept
Bonner
3 : 2
Bergisch Gladbach
12 Sept
Siegen
3 : 3
Bonner
04 Sept
Bonner
2 : 1
Koln II
01 Sept
Bocholt
2 : 2
Bonner
28 Aug
Bonner
3 : 3
Bochum II
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rot-Weiss Oberhausen 9 7 1 1 22:8 22
2 Gutersloh 9 6 2 1 21:7 20
3 Dortmund II 8 5 3 0 15:7 18
4 B. Monchengladbach II 9 5 2 2 18:10 17
5 Westfalia Rhynern 9 5 2 2 17:16 17
6 Bocholt 9 3 4 2 19:18 13
7 Siegen 9 3 4 2 15:14 13
8 Bergisch Gladbach 9 4 1 4 13:16 13
9 Schalke II 9 4 0 5 18:20 12
10 Bonner 9 2 5 2 18:18 11
11 Koln II 9 3 2 4 15:15 11
12 Paderborn II 8 2 3 3 15:16 9
13 Hilden 9 2 3 4 9:17 9
14 Bochum II 9 2 2 5 11:16 8
15 SG Wattenscheid 9 2 2 5 12:18 8
16 Wiedenbruck 9 2 2 5 12:20 8
17 Rodinghausen 9 1 3 5 12:17 6
18 Lotte 9 0 3 6 6:15 3
Promotion - 3. Liga 2027/2028 (Main)