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Paderborn II vs Kassel

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Paderborn II play Kassel in the Club Friendly. It looks like a close match. Recently, Paderborn II averaged 1.38 goals scored and 1 conceded. Kassel averaged 2.24 goals scored and 1.31 conceded. In past meetings, Paderborn II won 2, Kassel won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jun 26, 2026 ended 2:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.69 for Paderborn II and 1.50 for Kassel. This points to a Paderborn II double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Paderborn II
20%
Draws
38%
Kassel
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Paderborn II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Paderborn II picked up more points recently compared to Kassel.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.69 vs 1.50 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 83%
Over 2.5 Goals 53%
Over 3.5 Goals 32%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 53%
Paderborn II Clean Sheet 16%
Kassel Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 75%
Second Half Goal 79%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Paderborn II Kassel
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 15
Draws 5 6
Losses 11 8
Goals Scored 1.38 2.24
Goals Conceded 1 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 26, 2026 Club Friendly
Paderborn II vs Kassel
2:0
Jul 13, 2024 Club Friendly
Paderborn II vs Kassel
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Paderborn II Compare

Top Goalscorer Kiewitt L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lowelt L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Kassel Compare

Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Paderborn II 41 / 100
Kassel 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Paderborn II Kassel

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Paderborn II or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +23.5%
2.94
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.9%
2.13
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Paderborn II attacking → ← attacking Kassel

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Paderborn II scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

Kassel let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Paderborn II went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Kassel lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

44 Points in last 5 51
1.88 Goals expected (xG) 2.25
0.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.50