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Paderborn U19 vs Mainz U19

Germany Germany

DFB Youth League 2025/2026
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AI Match Summary

The DFB Youth League 2025/2026 game between Paderborn U19 and Mainz U19 finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Mainz U19.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Paderborn U19
15%
Draws
53%
Mainz U19
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Mainz U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

32% / Low Confidence
  • Paderborn U19 haven't matched Mainz U19's recent run of results.
  • 32% — that's where the model lands on Paderborn U19 taking it.
  • Regular DFB Youth League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 81%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 81%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.4%
Paderborn U19 Clean Sheet 10%
Mainz U19 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Paderborn U19 Mainz U19
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 14 16
Draws 6 5
Losses 9 7
Goals Scored 2.62 2.43
Goals Conceded 1.86 1.61
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 DFB Youth League
Paderborn U19 vs Mainz U19
1:3
Mar 7, 2026 DFB Youth League
Mainz U19 vs Paderborn U19
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Paderborn U19 56 / 100
Mainz U19 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Paderborn U19 Mainz U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Paderborn U19 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Paderborn U19 scored in 93% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Mainz U19's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 28 matches.

Solid form: Paderborn U19 remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Paderborn U19 VS Mainz U19
3.13 Goals Scored 2
2 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Paderborn U19

(Home)
15 Aug
Wolfsburg U19
4 : 1
Paderborn U19
08 Aug
Paderborn U19
0 : 3
Preussen Munster U19
02 Aug
Altona U19
0 : 11
Paderborn U19
17 May
Paderborn U19
2 : 3
Koln U19
10 May
Paderborn U19
2 : 1
Bochum U19
Page 1 of 6

Mainz U19

(Away)
09 Aug
Mainz U19
1 : 1
Koln U19
02 Aug
Mainz U19
5 : 4
Augsburg U19
15 May
Hoffenheim U19
2 : 1
Mainz U19
09 May
RB Leipzig U19
0 : 1
Mainz U19
03 May
Mainz U19
3 : 0
Augsburg U19
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hoffenheim U19 10 5 2 3 25:16 17
2 Mainz U19 10 5 1 4 21:15 16
3 Leverkusen U19 10 4 3 3 21:17 15
4 Paderborn U19 10 4 2 4 21:23 14
5 Union Berlin U19 10 3 2 5 16:22 11
6 Nurnberg U19 10 3 2 5 17:28 11
Promotion - DFB Youth League 2025/2026 (League A - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Wolfsburg U19 10 8 0 2 36:12 24
2 Heidenheim U19 10 4 3 3 22:20 15
3 Augsburg U19 10 5 0 5 15:15 15
4 Schalke U19 10 4 2 4 23:21 14
5 Dortmund U19 10 4 2 4 25:26 14
6 Holstein Kiel U19 10 1 1 8 9:36 4
Promotion - DFB Youth League 2025/2026 (League A - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 RB Leipzig U19 10 6 2 2 27:22 20
2 Kaiserslautern U19 10 5 2 3 22:17 17
3 Hannover U19 10 5 2 3 26:24 17
4 Bayern U19 10 4 3 3 29:21 15
5 B. Monchengladbach U19 10 4 3 3 22:18 15
6 Berliner AK 07 U19 10 0 0 10 5:29 0
Promotion - DFB Youth League 2025/2026 (League A - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Koln U19 10 6 2 2 27:10 20
2 Bochum U19 10 6 1 3 28:11 19
3 Cottbus U19 10 6 1 3 18:24 19
4 Hamburger U19 10 3 2 5 13:21 11
5 VfB Stuttgart U19 10 2 2 6 20:23 8
6 Ulm U19 10 2 2 6 13:30 8
Promotion - DFB Youth League 2025/2026 (League A - Play Offs)