Sport Picks
Paderborn vs Hoffenheim
Germany
Bundesliga Home Deluxe Arena, Paderborn 
Match Events
29'
29'
Castaneda S.
42'
42'
Marino S.
Assist: Curda L.
45'
45'
Burger W.
AI Match Summary
Paderborn in this Bundesliga matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Paderborn.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
59%
15%
26%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Paderborn
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
59%
/ Medium Confidence
- Hoffenheim have won more games recently than Paderborn.
- 59% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Paderborn Clean Sheet 11%
Hoffenheim Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Paderborn | Hoffenheim |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 31 |
| Wins | 14 | 15 |
| Draws | 9 | 5 |
| Losses | 6 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.79 | 1.97 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.45 | 1.77 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.56 | 1.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 20, 2026 Bundesliga
Paderborn vs Hoffenheim
3:1
May 23, 2020 Bundesliga
Paderborn vs Hoffenheim
1:1
Nov 1, 2019 Bundesliga
Hoffenheim vs Paderborn
3:0
Mar 21, 2015 Bundesliga
Paderborn vs Hoffenheim
0:0
Oct 25, 2014 Bundesliga
Hoffenheim vs Paderborn
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Paderborn Compare
Top Goalscorer Castaneda S.
1 Goals Assists Leader Marino S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78
Hoffenheim Compare
Top Goalscorer Daghim A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Paderborn 29 / 100
Hoffenheim 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Paderborn Hoffenheim
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Paderborn Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Paderborn scored in 79% of their last 29 games.
Defensive concern: Hoffenheim conceded in 77% of 31 recent games.
H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.
Solid form: Paderborn remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Paderborn VS Hoffenheim
1.63 Goals Scored 2.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
38% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Paderborn
(Home) 20 Sept
Paderborn
3 : 1 Hoffenheim
12 Sept
Dortmund
3 : 0 Paderborn
05 Sept
Paderborn
0 : 1 Freiburg
29 Aug
Mainz
0 : 0 Paderborn
23 Aug
Phonix Lubeck
2 : 4 Paderborn
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Paderborn
3 : 1 Hoffenheim
05 Sept
Paderborn
0 : 1 Freiburg
17 Jul
Paderborn
3 : 1 Okayama
25 May
Paderborn
2 : 1 Wolfsburg
08 May
Paderborn
2 : 2 Karlsruher
Page 1 of 3
Hoffenheim
(Away) 20 Sept
Paderborn
3 : 1 Hoffenheim
17 Sept
OFI Crete
2 : 0 Hoffenheim
12 Sept
Hoffenheim
2 : 1 VfB Stuttgart
05 Sept
Hoffenheim
2 : 3 Dortmund
29 Aug
1. FC Koln
3 : 2 Hoffenheim
Page 1 of 7
20 Sept
Paderborn
3 : 1 Hoffenheim
17 Sept
OFI Crete
2 : 0 Hoffenheim
29 Aug
1. FC Koln
3 : 2 Hoffenheim
22 Aug
Aue
0 : 4 Hoffenheim
16 Aug
Tottenham
2 : 2 Hoffenheim
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dortmund | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 9:2 | 12 |
| 2 | Bayern Munich | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 14:2 | 10 |
| 3 | Freiburg | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 12:3 | 10 |
| 4 | Augsburg | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 11:6 | 7 |
| 5 | Bayer Leverkusen | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10:5 | 7 |
| 6 | Mainz | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10:6 | 7 |
| 7 | Elversberg | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8:7 | 7 |
| 8 | Werder Bremen | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8:8 | 7 |
| 9 | RB Leipzig | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9:5 | 6 |
| 10 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 9:10 | 5 |
| 11 | Schalke | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3:4 | 5 |
| 12 | Paderborn | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3:5 | 4 |
| 13 | 1. FC Koln | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6:9 | 4 |
| 14 | Hoffenheim | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7:10 | 3 |
| 15 | VfB Stuttgart | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6:9 | 3 |
| 16 | Hamburger | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2:13 | 3 |
| 17 | Union Berlin | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4:17 | 1 |
| 18 | B. Monchengladbach | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6:16 | 0 |
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation - 2. Bundesliga 2027/2028 (Main)
