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Padinska Skela vs Jedinstvo Surcin - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Serbia Serbia

Srpska Liga - Belgrade
Sun, Oct 25, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Padinska Skela host Jedinstvo Surcin in the Srpska Liga - Belgrade. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Jedinstvo Surcin have shipped 1.43 goals a game lately, while Padinska Skela have conceded 1.14 and scored 0.89. Past meetings favor Padinska Skela slightly — 2-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 23, 2026, ending 0:2. xG projections (1.06 - 1.13) back Padinska Skela to edge this. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Padinska Skela
30%
Draws
23%
Jedinstvo Surcin
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Padinska Skela

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Jedinstvo Surcin carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Padinska Skela's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
Padinska Skela Clean Sheet 20%
Jedinstvo Surcin Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Padinska Skela Jedinstvo Surcin
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 8 10
Draws 10 5
Losses 10 13
Goals Scored 0.89 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.14 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2026 Srpska Liga - Belgrade
Jedinstvo Surcin vs Padinska Skela
0:2
Nov 8, 2025 Srpska Liga - Belgrade
Padinska Skela vs Jedinstvo Surcin
2:0
Mar 31, 2024 Srpska Liga - Belgrade
Jedinstvo Surcin vs Padinska Skela
4:0
Sep 10, 2023 Srpska Liga - Belgrade
Padinska Skela vs Jedinstvo Surcin
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Padinska Skela 49 / 100
Jedinstvo Surcin 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Padinska Skela Jedinstvo Surcin

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Padinska Skela Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jedinstvo Surcin has conceded goals in 68% of their last 28 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Jedinstvo Surcin's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Padinska Skela's goal record stands at 54% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Padinska Skela VS Jedinstvo Surcin
0.38 Goals Scored 1.25
1 Goals Conceded 1.75
38% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Padinska Skela

(Home)
03 Oct
Buducnost Dobanovci
1 : 0
Padinska Skela
27 Sept
Padinska Skela
0 : 0
Usce
20 Sept
Padinska Skela
3 : 1
BASK
13 Sept
Radnicki Obrenovac
3 : 0
Padinska Skela
06 Sept
Padinska Skela
0 : 2
Nika Lepusnica
Page 1 of 6

Jedinstvo Surcin

(Away)
03 Oct
Jedinstvo Surcin
1 : 1
Polet Dorcol
26 Sept
Torlak
0 : 0
Jedinstvo Surcin
19 Sept
Jedinstvo Surcin
1 : 5
Bezanija
12 Sept
Prva Iskra
2 : 1
Jedinstvo Surcin
05 Sept
Jedinstvo Surcin
0 : 2
Brodarac
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Usce 8 5 1 2 14:9 16
2 Buducnost Dobanovci 8 4 3 1 13:5 15
3 Bezanija 8 5 0 3 13:9 15
4 Radnicki Obrenovac 7 4 2 1 12:5 14
5 Nika Lepusnica 7 4 2 1 12:7 14
6 Torlak 8 4 2 2 13:10 14
7 Polet Dorcol 8 2 4 2 8:8 10
8 BASK 8 3 0 5 12:15 9
9 Zvezdara 7 3 0 4 9:12 9
10 Brodarac 8 3 0 5 9:12 9
11 Bacevac 7 2 1 4 10:14 7
12 Padinska Skela 7 1 3 3 3:7 6
13 Prva Iskra 8 2 0 6 4:13 6
14 Jedinstvo Surcin 7 1 2 4 7:13 5
Promotion - Mozzart Bet Prva Liga 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - Srpska Liga - Belgrade (Relegation)