Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Padova host Empoli in the Serie B. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. Empoli have shipped 1.48 goals a game lately, while Padova have conceded 1.38 and scored 1.07. Past meetings favor Empoli slightly — 1-3-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 12, 2026, ending 1:0. xG projections (1.38 - 1.06) back Padova to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Padova have won more games recently than Empoli.
- Win probability leans Padova's way, sitting at 70%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Padova | Empoli |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 27 |
| Wins | 11 | 5 |
| Draws | 4 | 10 |
| Losses | 14 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.07 | 1.11 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.38 | 1.48 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Empoli conceded in 85% of 27 recent games.
Padova scored in 76% of their last 29 games.
H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.
Away concern: Empoli has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Padova
(Home)Empoli
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Palermo | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 21:11 | 23 |
| 2 | Modena | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 17:9 | 19 |
| 3 | Ascoli | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 16:6 | 18 |
| 4 | Mantova | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 14:10 | 17 |
| 5 | Benevento | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 14:8 | 15 |
| 6 | Pisa | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 18:13 | 15 |
| 7 | Padova | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 9:10 | 13 |
| 8 | Sudtirol | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 10:9 | 13 |
| 9 | Verona | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 16:13 | 12 |
| 10 | Avellino | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 13:10 | 12 |
| 11 | Cesena | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 10:13 | 11 |
| 12 | Entella | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 11:10 | 10 |
| 13 | Carrarese | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 9:10 | 10 |
| 14 | Arezzo | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 9:19 | 10 |
| 15 | Cremonese | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 8:11 | 9 |
| 16 | Vicenza | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 12:17 | 9 |
| 17 | Juve Stabia | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 9:9 | 8 |
| 18 | Empoli | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 8:15 | 7 |
| 19 | Sampdoria | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 8:18 | 5 |
| 20 | Catanzaro | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 10:21 | 5 |
