Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Padova vs Lecco

World World

Club Friendly 2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Padova in this Club Friendly 2025 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Padova.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
Padova
30%
Draws
16%
Lecco
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Padova

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Padova lately — more wins on the board than Lecco.
  • Padova are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Padova have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Padova Clean Sheet 16%
Lecco Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Padova Lecco
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 10 9
Draws 6 11
Losses 13 10
Goals Scored 1.17 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.48 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 2, 2025 Club Friendly
Padova vs Lecco
3:1
Apr 7, 2025 Serie C - Group A
Padova vs Lecco
2:1
Nov 23, 2024 Serie C - Group A
Lecco vs Padova
0:3
Apr 16, 2023 Serie C - Group A
Padova vs Lecco
3:1
Dec 11, 2022 Serie C - Group A
Lecco vs Padova
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Padova 66 / 100
Lecco 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Padova Lecco

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PAD Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Padova's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Lecco has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Padova went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Padova VS Lecco
1.63 Goals Scored 1.13
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Padova

(Home)
07 Aug
Monza
3 : 3
Padova
01 Aug
Cittadella
0 : 2
Padova
25 Jul
Padova
1 : 3
Ospitaletto
22 Jul
Sassuolo
4 : 1
Padova
08 May
Cesena
3 : 4
Padova
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Lecco

(Away)
08 Aug
Lecco
2 : 3
Atalanta U23
05 Aug
Lecco
0 : 3
Inter U23
02 Aug
Verona
3 : 0
Lecco
20 May
Catania
3 : 3
Lecco
17 May
Lecco
0 : 0
Catania
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