Sport Picks
Match Events
25'
25'
Modesto R.
46'
46'
Sub
Palumbo A. In: Peda P.
Out: Palumbo A.
48'
48'
Ceccaroni P.
AI Match Summary
Palermo in this Serie B 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Palermo.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
33%
30%
37%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Palermo
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
37%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Palermo lately — more wins on the board than Padova.
- Win probability leans Palermo's way, sitting at 80%.
- Regular Serie B 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Palermo here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 47.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Padova Clean Sheet 10%
Palermo Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Padova | Palermo |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 10 | 16 |
| Draws | 6 | 8 |
| Losses | 13 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 1.17 | 1.87 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.48 | 0.97 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.42 | 2.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 21, 2026 Serie B
Padova vs Palermo
0:1
Dec 27, 2025 Serie B
Palermo vs Padova
1:0
Jun 12, 2022 Serie C - Group B
Palermo vs Padova
1:0
Jun 5, 2022 Serie C - Group B
Padova vs Palermo
0:1
Apr 22, 2019 Serie B
Palermo vs Padova
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Padova Compare
Avg xG / game 1.09
Avg xA / game 0.71
Palermo Compare
Top Goalscorer Bani M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Padova 10 / 100
Palermo 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Padova Palermo
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick PAL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Padova scored in 76% of their last 29 games.
Solid form: Padova remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Palermo let in goals in 53% of their last 30 matches.
H2H data points to 1.20 goals as a typical output.
Scoring Trends
Padova VS Palermo
1.71 Goals Scored 2.63
1.86 Goals Conceded 1.13
71% Over 1.5 88%
57% Over 2.5 50%
57% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Padova
(Home) 07 Aug
Monza
3 : 3 Padova
01 Aug
Cittadella
0 : 2 Padova
25 Jul
Padova
1 : 3 Ospitaletto
22 Jul
Sassuolo
4 : 1 Padova
08 May
Cesena
3 : 4 Padova
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25 Jul
Padova
1 : 3 Ospitaletto
01 May
Padova
1 : 0 Pescara
19 Apr
Padova
1 : 0 Reggiana
12 Apr
Padova
1 : 0 Empoli
21 Mar
Padova
0 : 1 Palermo
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Palermo
(Away) 11 Aug
Juventus
2 : 0 Palermo
07 Aug
Melbourne City
0 : 2 Palermo
29 Jul
Palermo
1 : 1 Iraklis FC
25 Jul
Palermo
2 : 2 Nurnberg
22 Jul
Palermo
7 : 0 Paradiso
Page 1 of 6
11 Aug
Juventus
2 : 0 Palermo
07 Aug
Melbourne City
0 : 2 Palermo
18 Jul
Ingolstadt
1 : 0 Palermo
17 May
Catanzaro
3 : 0 Palermo
08 May
Venezia
2 : 0 Palermo
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Venezia | 38 | 24 | 10 | 4 | 77:31 | 82 |
| 2 | Frosinone | 38 | 23 | 12 | 3 | 76:34 | 81 |
| 3 | Monza | 38 | 22 | 10 | 6 | 61:32 | 76 |
| 4 | Palermo | 38 | 20 | 12 | 6 | 61:33 | 72 |
| 5 | Catanzaro | 38 | 15 | 14 | 9 | 62:51 | 59 |
| 6 | Modena | 38 | 15 | 10 | 13 | 49:36 | 55 |
| 7 | Juve Stabia | 38 | 11 | 18 | 9 | 44:45 | 51 |
| 8 | Avellino | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 43:55 | 49 |
| 9 | Mantova | 38 | 13 | 7 | 18 | 45:57 | 46 |
| 10 | Padova | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 39:49 | 46 |
| 11 | Cesena | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 45:56 | 46 |
| 12 | Carrarese | 38 | 10 | 14 | 14 | 47:52 | 44 |
| 13 | Sampdoria | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 35:48 | 44 |
| 14 | Entella | 38 | 10 | 12 | 16 | 36:51 | 42 |
| 15 | Empoli | 38 | 9 | 14 | 15 | 47:54 | 41 |
| 16 | Sudtirol | 38 | 8 | 17 | 13 | 38:48 | 41 |
| 17 | Bari | 38 | 10 | 10 | 18 | 38:60 | 40 |
| 18 | Reggiana | 38 | 9 | 10 | 19 | 36:56 | 37 |
| 19 | Spezia | 38 | 8 | 11 | 19 | 43:59 | 35 |
| 20 | Pescara | 38 | 7 | 14 | 17 | 51:66 | 35 |
Promotion - Serie A (Main)
Promotion - Serie B 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie B 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie B 2025/2026 (Play Out)
