Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Padova vs Pescara

Italy Italy

Serie B 2025/2026 Stadio Euganeo, Padova
Our Tip

Match Events

14'
Bortolussi M.
21'
Sub
Di Nardo A. In: Russo F.
Out: Di Nardo A.
42'
Cagnano A.

AI Match Summary

Padova in this Serie B 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Padova.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Padova
35%
Draws
30%
Pescara
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Padova have won more games recently than Pescara.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Padova Clean Sheet 13%
Pescara Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Padova Pescara
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 10 7
Draws 6 9
Losses 13 12
Goals Scored 1.17 1.43
Goals Conceded 1.48 1.61
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 1, 2026 Serie B
Padova vs Pescara
1:0
Nov 29, 2025 Serie B
Pescara vs Padova
0:1
Feb 23, 2019 Serie B
Pescara vs Padova
2:0
Oct 2, 2018 Serie B
Padova vs Pescara
2:2
May 17, 2014 Serie B
Padova vs Pescara
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Padova Compare

Top Goalscorer Pastina C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Pescara Compare

Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Padova 35 / 100
Pescara 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Padova Pescara

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pescara Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Pescara conceded in 86% of 28 recent games.

Attacking prowess: Padova scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Padova went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Padova VS Pescara
1.13 Goals Scored 1.75
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.75
50% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Padova

(Home)
07 Aug
Monza
3 : 3
Padova
01 Aug
Cittadella
0 : 2
Padova
25 Jul
Padova
1 : 3
Ospitaletto
22 Jul
Sassuolo
4 : 1
Padova
08 May
Cesena
3 : 4
Padova
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Pescara

(Away)
02 Aug
Pescara
4 : 2
Lanciano
08 May
Pescara
1 : 1
Spezia
01 May
Padova
1 : 0
Pescara
25 Apr
Pescara
1 : 1
Juve Stabia
19 Apr
Carrarese
2 : 2
Pescara
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Venezia 38 24 10 4 77:31 82
2 Frosinone 38 23 12 3 76:34 81
3 Monza 38 22 10 6 61:32 76
4 Palermo 38 20 12 6 61:33 72
5 Catanzaro 38 15 14 9 62:51 59
6 Modena 38 15 10 13 49:36 55
7 Juve Stabia 38 11 18 9 44:45 51
8 Avellino 38 13 10 15 43:55 49
9 Mantova 38 13 7 18 45:57 46
10 Padova 38 12 10 16 39:49 46
11 Cesena 38 12 10 16 45:56 46
12 Carrarese 38 10 14 14 47:52 44
13 Sampdoria 38 11 11 16 35:48 44
14 Entella 38 10 12 16 36:51 42
15 Empoli 38 9 14 15 47:54 41
16 Sudtirol 38 8 17 13 38:48 41
17 Bari 38 10 10 18 38:60 40
18 Reggiana 38 9 10 19 36:56 37
19 Spezia 38 8 11 19 43:59 35
20 Pescara 38 7 14 17 51:66 35
Promotion - Serie A (Main)
Promotion - Serie B 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie B 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie B 2025/2026 (Play Out)