Sport Picks

Italy

Serie B Stadio Euganeo

Padova

1 - 0

Reggiana

Our Tip

Match Events

24'

Reinhart T.

46'

Sub

Bozhanaj K. In: Rover M.

Out: Bozhanaj K.

50'

Bonetti S.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Serie B game between Padova and Reggiana finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Padova.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%

Padova

22%

Draws

18%

Reggiana

Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Padova

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence

Look at the last few games and Padova come out ahead of Reggiana on wins alone.
Padova are the model's pick here, at 60%.
Regular Serie B form gives a decent read on both sides.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%

Padova Clean Sheet 68%

Reggiana Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Padova	Reggiana
Matches Played	29	30
Wins	9	6
Draws	7	7
Losses	13	17
Goals Scored	0.5	0.63
Goals Conceded	1.38	1.75
Expected Goals (xG)	0.50	0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.38	1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2026 Serie B

Padova vs Reggiana

Possession: 44% - 53% Cards: 3 - 1

1:0

Dec 13, 2025 Serie B

Reggiana vs Padova

Possession: 42% - 57% Cards: 1 - 2

1:2

Sep 19, 2020 Club Friendly

Padova vs Reggiana

Possession: 45% - 52% Cards: 2 - 2

2:1

Apr 26, 2020 Serie C - Group B

Padova vs Reggiana

Possession: 49% - 41% Cards: 3 - 4

0:0

Dec 16, 2019 Serie C - Group B

Reggiana vs Padova

Possession: 41% - 44% Cards: 2 - 3

1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Padova Compare

Top Goalscorer Seghetti A.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.38

Avg xA / game 0.25

Reggiana Compare

Avg xG / game 0.57

Avg xA / game 0.35

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Padova 68 / 100

Reggiana 19 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Padova Reggiana

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PAD Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Padova found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (29 games).

Reggiana has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Solid form: Padova remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Padova VS Reggiana

0.5 Goals Scored 0.63

1.38 Goals Conceded 1.75

38% Over 1.5 75%

25% Over 2.5 38%

25% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Venezia	38	24	10	4	77:31	82
2	Frosinone	38	23	12	3	76:34	81
3	Monza	38	22	10	6	61:32	76
4	Palermo	38	20	12	6	61:33	72
5	Catanzaro	38	15	14	9	62:51	59
6	Modena	38	15	10	13	49:36	55
7	Juve Stabia	38	11	18	9	44:45	51
8	Avellino	38	13	10	15	43:55	49
9	Mantova	38	13	7	18	45:57	46
10	Padova	38	12	10	16	39:49	46
11	Cesena	38	12	10	16	45:56	46
12	Carrarese	38	10	14	14	47:52	44
13	Sampdoria	38	11	11	16	35:48	44
14	Entella	38	10	12	16	36:51	42
15	Empoli	38	9	14	15	47:54	41
16	Sudtirol	38	8	17	13	38:48	41
17	Bari	38	10	10	18	38:60	40
18	Reggiana	38	9	10	19	36:56	37
19	Spezia	38	8	11	19	43:59	35
20	Pescara	38	7	14	17	51:66	35