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Padova vs Sudtirol - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie B Stadio Euganeo, Padova
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Artistico G.
Assist: Giunti G.
46'
Sub
Vasic A. In: Burnete R.
Out: Vasic A.
62'
Sub
Brik D. In: Rispoli F.
Out: Brik D.

AI Match Summary

The Serie B game between Padova and Sudtirol finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Padova.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Padova
20%
Draws
20%
Sudtirol
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Padova

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

60% / High Confidence
  • Sudtirol haven't matched Padova's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Padova a 60% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Padova Clean Sheet 68%
Sudtirol Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Padova Sudtirol
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 7
Draws 4 12
Losses 14 10
Goals Scored 1.07 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 27, 2026 Serie B
Padova vs Sudtirol
2:0
Jan 25, 2026 Serie B
Sudtirol vs Padova
3:0
Nov 1, 2025 Serie B
Padova vs Sudtirol
1:1
Apr 16, 2022 Serie C - Group A
Sudtirol vs Padova
0:0
Apr 6, 2022 Coppa Italia Serie C
Sudtirol vs Padova
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Padova Compare

Top Goalscorer Artistico G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Capelli A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Sudtirol Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Padova 77 / 100
Sudtirol 15 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Padova Sudtirol

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Padova Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Padova scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: Sudtirol conceded in 62% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.

Sudtirol's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Padova VS Sudtirol
0.88 Goals Scored 1.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Padova

(Home)
27 Oct
Padova
2 : 0
Sudtirol
24 Oct
Avellino
0 : 1
Padova
17 Oct
Padova
1 : 2
Entella
11 Oct
Padova
0 : 2
Carrarese
19 Sept
Palermo
2 : 1
Padova
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Sudtirol

(Away)
27 Oct
Padova
2 : 0
Sudtirol
24 Oct
Sudtirol
1 : 1
Sampdoria
18 Oct
Juve Stabia
3 : 0
Sudtirol
10 Oct
Sudtirol
0 : 0
Ascoli
02 Oct
Sudtirol
2 : 3
Wacker Innsbruck
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Palermo 10 8 2 0 24:12 26
2 Modena 10 6 2 2 18:10 20
3 Ascoli 10 5 4 1 16:6 19
4 Mantova 10 5 3 2 15:11 18
5 Avellino 10 4 3 3 15:10 15
6 Benevento 10 4 3 3 14:10 15
7 Verona 10 4 3 3 19:13 15
8 Pisa 10 4 3 3 18:15 15
9 Padova 10 4 2 4 10:11 14
10 Sudtirol 10 3 5 2 11:10 14
11 Cremonese 10 3 3 4 10:11 12
12 Cesena 10 2 6 2 11:14 12
13 Arezzo 10 3 2 5 9:19 11
14 Entella 10 2 4 4 11:12 10
15 Carrarese 10 3 1 6 9:13 10
16 Juve Stabia 10 3 4 3 11:11 9
17 Vicenza 10 2 3 5 13:20 9
18 Empoli 10 2 2 6 10:17 8
19 Sampdoria 10 2 2 6 10:18 8
20 Catanzaro 10 1 3 6 11:22 6
Promotion - Serie A 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Serie B (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie B (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie B (Play Out)