Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Padroense vs FC Madalena Prediction & H2H Stats

Portugal Portugal

Second Division - Zona Centro 2011/2012
Padroense Logo

Padroense

1 - 0
FT
FC Madalena Logo

FC Madalena

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Padroense in this Second Division - Zona Centro 2011/2012 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Padroense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Padroense
15%
Draws
36%
FC Madalena
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Padroense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Padroense have won more games recently than FC Madalena.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Padroense taking it.
  • Regular Second Division - Zona Centro 2011/2012 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Padroense Clean Sheet 15%
FC Madalena Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Padroense FC Madalena
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 6 5
Draws 6 5
Losses 20 20
Goals Scored 0.81 1
Goals Conceded 1.78 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 1.54
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 24, 2012 Second Division - Zona Centro
Padroense vs FC Madalena
1:0
Nov 27, 2011 Second Division - Zona Centro
FC Madalena vs Padroense
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Padroense 35 / 100
FC Madalena 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Padroense FC Madalena

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: FC Madalena conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Away concern: FC Madalena has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Padroense scored in 59% of their last 32 games.

Scoring Trends

Padroense VS FC Madalena
0.63 Goals Scored 1.2
1.88 Goals Conceded 2.2
75% Over 1.5 80%
50% Over 2.5 60%
25% Over 3.5 40%

Recent Form & Match History

Padroense

(Home)
28 Apr
Padroense
1 : 2
Tirsense
21 Apr
Infesta
2 : 1
Padroense
14 Apr
Padroense
2 : 2
AD Fafe
07 Apr
Ribeirao
3 : 0
Padroense
30 Mar
Padroense
4 : 0
AD Limianos
Page 1 of 7

FC Madalena

(Away)
20 Sept
FC Madalena
1 : 3
Lusitania FC
30 Aug
SC Barreiro
2 : 5
FC Madalena
08 Sept
FC Madalena
0 : 2
Estrela Vendas Novas
11 Sept
Oriental
1 : 0
FC Madalena
27 Sept
FC Barreirense
3 : 0
FC Madalena
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tondela 30 19 6 5 49:22 63
2 SC Espinho 30 19 5 6 50:32 62
3 Operario 30 15 7 8 34:26 52
4 Boavista 30 15 5 10 43:31 50
5 Amarante FC 30 13 10 7 48:30 49
6 Sao Joao de Ver 30 15 4 11 43:46 49
7 Gondomar 30 13 5 12 27:31 44
8 Cinfaes 30 12 7 11 35:40 43
9 Coimbroes 30 9 15 6 30:31 42
10 Anadia 30 11 7 12 45:42 40
11 Padroense 30 11 6 13 47:50 39
12 Aliados Lordelo 30 10 7 13 41:40 37
13 Oliv. Bairro 30 7 7 16 34:50 28
14 SC Angrense 30 5 8 17 36:49 23
15 Paredes 30 6 5 19 30:50 23
16 FC Madalena 30 5 6 19 32:54 21
Promotion - Second Division - Zona Centro 2011/2012 (Main)