Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Padroense vs Gondomar

Portugal Portugal

Second Division - Zona Norte
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Second Division - Zona Norte game between Padroense and Gondomar finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Gondomar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Padroense
30%
Draws
39%
Gondomar
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Gondomar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Padroense haven't matched Gondomar's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Padroense have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 62.2%
Padroense Clean Sheet 20%
Gondomar Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Padroense Gondomar
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 5 14
Draws 5 7
Losses 20 13
Goals Scored 0.77 0.76
Goals Conceded 1.83 0.91
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 0.80
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 10, 2013 Second Division - Zona Norte
Padroense vs Gondomar
0:1
Oct 7, 2012 Second Division - Zona Norte
Gondomar vs Padroense
0:1
Feb 26, 2012 Second Division - Zona Centro
Padroense vs Gondomar
1:0
Oct 23, 2011 Second Division - Zona Centro
Gondomar vs Padroense
0:3
Jan 22, 2011 Second Division - Zona Centro
Padroense vs Gondomar
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Padroense 32 / 100
Gondomar 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Padroense Gondomar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gondomar Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Padroense's goal record stands at 57% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Gondomar's defensive record shows goals conceded in 50% of 34 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.40 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Padroense remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Gondomar
0 Goals Scored 0.5
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 38%
0% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Padroense

(Home)
28 Apr
Padroense
1 : 2
Tirsense
21 Apr
Infesta
2 : 1
Padroense
14 Apr
Padroense
2 : 2
AD Fafe
07 Apr
Ribeirao
3 : 0
Padroense
30 Mar
Padroense
4 : 0
AD Limianos
Page 1 of 6

Gondomar

(Away)
13 Apr
Gondomar
0 : 0
Coimbroes
06 Apr
AD Marco 09
1 : 0
Gondomar
29 Mar
Gondomar
0 : 0
Camacha
16 Mar
Regua
0 : 1
Gondomar
09 Mar
Gondomar
0 : 2
Leca
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Chaves 30 16 10 4 43:21 58
2 Ribeirao 30 15 10 5 43:24 55
3 SC Mirandela 30 15 8 7 41:29 53
4 Vizela 30 14 9 7 41:29 51
5 AD Limianos 30 12 9 9 33:30 45
6 Tirsense 30 11 12 7 35:32 45
7 Famalicao 30 11 10 9 42:35 43
8 Varzim 30 8 16 6 31:26 40
9 AD Fafe 30 10 10 10 37:33 40
10 Boavista 30 9 11 10 44:40 38
11 Amarante FC 30 7 12 11 30:33 33
12 Gondomar 30 7 12 11 25:27 33
13 Vilaverdense FC 30 7 12 11 22:36 33
14 GD Joane 30 7 7 16 27:48 28
15 Infesta 30 7 4 19 30:51 25
16 Padroense 30 5 6 19 23:53 21
Promotion - Second Division - Zona Centro (Play Offs)