Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Padroense vs Vizela

Portugal Portugal

Second Division - Zona Norte
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Second Division - Zona Norte game between Padroense and Vizela finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Vizela.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Padroense
30%
Draws
51%
Vizela
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Vizela

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Vizela come out ahead of Padroense on wins alone.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Vizela taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Padroense Clean Sheet 20%
Vizela Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Padroense Vizela
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 5 14
Draws 5 4
Losses 20 13
Goals Scored 0.77 1.06
Goals Conceded 1.83 1.42
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 0.68
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 10, 2013 Second Division - Zona Norte
Padroense vs Vizela
1:2
Nov 11, 2012 Second Division - Zona Norte
Vizela vs Padroense
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Padroense 16 / 100
Vizela 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Padroense Vizela

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vizela Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.

Vizela let in goals in 65% of their last 31 matches.

Padroense found the back of the net in 57% of recent matches (30 games).

Padroense has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Vizela
0 Goals Scored 0.25
0 Goals Conceded 1.88
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Padroense

(Home)
28 Apr
Padroense
1 : 2
Tirsense
21 Apr
Infesta
2 : 1
Padroense
14 Apr
Padroense
2 : 2
AD Fafe
07 Apr
Ribeirao
3 : 0
Padroense
30 Mar
Padroense
4 : 0
AD Limianos
Page 1 of 6

Vizela

(Away)
20 Sept
Bombarralense
0 : 1
Vizela
14 Sept
FC Porto B
2 : 2
Vizela
06 Sept
Vizela
1 : 0
FC Felgueiras
29 Aug
Torreense
0 : 3
Vizela
22 Aug
Vizela
0 : 0
Amarante FC
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Chaves 30 16 10 4 43:21 58
2 Ribeirao 30 15 10 5 43:24 55
3 SC Mirandela 30 15 8 7 41:29 53
4 Vizela 30 14 9 7 41:29 51
5 AD Limianos 30 12 9 9 33:30 45
6 Tirsense 30 11 12 7 35:32 45
7 Famalicao 30 11 10 9 42:35 43
8 Varzim 30 8 16 6 31:26 40
9 AD Fafe 30 10 10 10 37:33 40
10 Boavista 30 9 11 10 44:40 38
11 Amarante FC 30 7 12 11 30:33 33
12 Gondomar 30 7 12 11 25:27 33
13 Vilaverdense FC 30 7 12 11 22:36 33
14 GD Joane 30 7 7 16 27:48 28
15 Infesta 30 7 4 19 30:51 25
16 Padroense 30 5 6 19 23:53 21
Promotion - Second Division - Zona Centro (Play Offs)