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Paduano EC vs Belford Roxo Prediction & H2H Stats

Brazil Brazil

Carioca B1 2024
Paduano EC Logo

Paduano EC

2 - 1
FT
Belford Roxo Logo

Belford Roxo

Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Batista Martins G.
78' Event
Araujo J.
(Penalty)
90' Event
Araujo J.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Paduano EC in this Carioca B1 2024 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Paduano EC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Paduano EC
35%
Draws
23%
Belford Roxo
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Paduano EC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Paduano EC have won more games recently than Belford Roxo.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Paduano EC taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Paduano EC Clean Sheet 68%
Belford Roxo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Paduano EC Belford Roxo
Matches Played 28 26
Wins 12 7
Draws 5 11
Losses 11 8
Goals Scored 1.07 1.42
Goals Conceded 1 1.42
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 12, 2024 Carioca B1
Paduano EC vs Belford Roxo
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Paduano EC Compare

Top Goalscorer Araujo J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Belford Roxo Compare

Top Goalscorer Batista Martins G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Paduano EC 50 / 100
Belford Roxo 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Paduano EC Belford Roxo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Paduano EC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Paduano EC went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Paduano EC found the back of the net in 64% of recent matches (28 games).

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Belford Roxo's defensive record shows goals conceded in 58% of 26 matches.

Scoring Trends

Paduano EC VS Belford Roxo
1.13 Goals Scored 1.25
0.63 Goals Conceded 2.13
50% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Paduano EC

(Home)
01 Oct
Paduano EC
1 : 1
Campos AA
27 Sept
Paraty
0 : 3
Paduano EC
20 Sept
Paduano EC
2 : 2
Barra Mansa
13 Sept
Serra Macaense
1 : 2
Paduano EC
06 Sept
Paduano EC
1 : 0
Santa Cruz RJ
Page 1 of 6

Belford Roxo

(Away)
01 Oct
Belford Roxo
3 : 0
Santa Cruz RJ
27 Sept
Friburguense
2 : 2
Belford Roxo
20 Sept
Belford Roxo
1 : 2
Cardoso Moreira
13 Sept
Campos AA
2 : 2
Belford Roxo
06 Sept
Belford Roxo
0 : 0
FC Rio de Janeiro
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Artsul 8 5 1 2 10:5 16
2 Paduano EC 8 5 1 2 6:3 16
3 Sao Goncalo 8 3 4 1 10:2 13
4 Perolas Negras 8 3 2 3 8:9 11
5 Friburguense 8 2 4 2 5:4 10
6 Nova Cidade 8 2 4 2 10:11 10
7 Sao Cristovao 8 2 1 5 3:9 7
8 Serrano FC 8 1 3 4 5:9 6
9 Belford Roxo 8 0 6 2 5:10 6
Promotion - Carioca B1 2024 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Carioca B2 2024 (Main)