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Paduano EC vs Campo Grande Prediction & H2H Stats

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Carioca B1 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Vitor Jacare

AI Match Summary

The Carioca B1 2025 game between Paduano EC and Campo Grande finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Campo Grande.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Paduano EC
20%
Draws
40%
Campo Grande
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Campo Grande carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Paduano EC are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Paduano EC Clean Sheet 68%
Campo Grande Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Paduano EC Campo Grande
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 12 16
Draws 4 8
Losses 11 5
Goals Scored 1.07 1.41
Goals Conceded 1 0.76
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 18, 2025 Carioca B1
Paduano EC vs Campo Grande
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Paduano EC Compare

Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Campo Grande Compare

Top Goalscorer Vitor Jacare
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Paduano EC 59 / 100
Campo Grande 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Paduano EC Campo Grande

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Paduano EC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Paduano EC scored in 63% of their last 27 games.

Defensive concern: Campo Grande conceded in 62% of 29 recent games.

Solid form: Paduano EC remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Paduano EC VS Campo Grande
1.13 Goals Scored 1
1.63 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Paduano EC

(Home)
27 Sept
Paraty
0 : 3
Paduano EC
20 Sept
Paduano EC
2 : 2
Barra Mansa
13 Sept
Serra Macaense
1 : 2
Paduano EC
06 Sept
Paduano EC
1 : 0
Santa Cruz RJ
30 Aug
Cardoso Moreira
1 : 0
Paduano EC
Page 1 of 6

Campo Grande

(Away)
26 Sept
Serrano FC
1 : 1
Campo Grande
19 Sept
Campo Grande
2 : 1
Macae
12 Sept
Artsul
3 : 2
Campo Grande
05 Sept
Campo Grande
1 : 0
AA Carapebus
08 Nov
Goncalense
0 : 1
Campo Grande
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bonsucesso 11 6 4 1 14:7 22
2 Sao Cristovao 11 5 4 2 14:8 19
3 Serrano FC 11 5 3 3 14:11 18
4 Duque de Caxias 11 5 3 3 10:9 18
5 Niteroiense 11 4 4 3 16:14 16
6 Goncalense 11 5 1 5 11:9 16
7 Nova Cidade 11 4 4 3 9:9 16
8 Campo Grande 11 3 6 2 9:8 15
9 Artsul 11 3 4 4 11:10 13
10 AA Carapebus 11 3 3 5 6:13 12
11 Paduano EC 11 3 1 7 12:18 10
12 Friburguense 11 1 1 9 3:13 4
Promotion - Carioca B1 2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Carioca B2 2025 (Main)