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Padura vs Santurtzi Prediction & H2H Stats

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Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2024/2025
Padura Logo

Padura

1 - 1
FT
Santurtzi Logo

Santurtzi

Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Barron J.
59' Event
Marroquin A.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2024/2025 game between Padura and Santurtzi finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Padura
15%
Draws
26%
Santurtzi
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Padura

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Padura haven't matched Santurtzi's recent run of results.
  • Padura are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 20%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Padura Clean Sheet 68%
Santurtzi Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Padura Santurtzi
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 6 9
Draws 7 11
Losses 17 14
Goals Scored 0.93 1.06
Goals Conceded 1.43 1.26
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 0.80
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 17, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Padura vs Santurtzi
1:1
Dec 6, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Santurtzi vs Padura
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Padura Compare

Top Goalscorer Barron J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61

Santurtzi Compare

Top Goalscorer Marroquin A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.73
Avg xA / game 0.44

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Padura 68 / 100
Santurtzi 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Padura Santurtzi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Padura Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Padura's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Santurtzi let in goals in 74% of their last 34 matches.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Padura has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Santurtzi
0 Goals Scored 0.5
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Padura

(Home)
11 May
Padura
3 : 0
San Viator
03 May
Derio
2 : 1
Padura
30 Apr
Eibar C
1 : 2
Padura
26 Apr
Portugalete
3 : 1
Padura
17 Apr
Padura
1 : 1
Santurtzi
Page 1 of 6

Santurtzi

(Away)
27 Sept
Santurtzi
0 : 1
Lagun Onak
20 Sept
Derio
2 : 0
Santurtzi
13 Sept
Santurtzi
2 : 1
SCD Durango
05 Sept
Beasain
2 : 0
Santurtzi
14 Aug
Eibar C
3 : 1
Santurtzi
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Basconia 34 23 7 4 89:32 76
2 Portugalete 34 19 13 2 66:29 70
3 Leioa 34 20 6 8 55:34 66
4 Beasain 34 19 7 8 53:34 64
5 SD Deusto 34 15 9 10 43:35 54
6 Alaves C 34 14 6 14 41:41 48
7 Touring KE 34 13 9 12 39:45 48
8 Derio 34 12 11 11 39:39 47
9 Eibar C 34 12 10 12 46:51 46
10 UD Aretxabaleta 34 12 8 14 40:45 44
11 Lagun Onak 34 11 9 14 44:49 42
12 San Ignacio 34 11 9 14 32:41 42
13 SCD Durango 34 9 13 12 43:37 40
14 Pasaia 34 10 9 15 45:60 39
15 Santurtzi 34 8 14 12 46:43 38
16 Urduliz FT 34 9 9 16 37:56 36
17 Padura 34 7 8 19 31:48 29
18 San Viator 34 1 5 28 21:91 8
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2024/2025 (Play Offs)