Sport Picks

Stadium Background

PAE Egaleo vs Ethnikos Piraeus - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Greece Greece

Gamma Ethniki - Group 8
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

PAE Egaleo host Ethnikos Piraeus in the Gamma Ethniki - Group 8. This shapes up as a tight, low-scoring affair. PAE Egaleo have averaged 1.16 scored and 1.16 conceded recently, against Ethnikos Piraeus's 1.57 scored and 0.7 conceded. Past meetings favor PAE Egaleo slightly — 2-1-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 14, 2010, ending 1:0. The numbers (1.06 xG vs 0.74) point toward Ethnikos Piraeus. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
PAE Egaleo
15%
Draws
31%
Ethnikos Piraeus
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: PAE Egaleo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Ethnikos Piraeus lately — more wins on the board than PAE Egaleo.
  • 54% — that's where the model lands on PAE Egaleo taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 21.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
PAE Egaleo Clean Sheet 20%
Ethnikos Piraeus Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric PAE Egaleo Ethnikos Piraeus
Matches Played 37 47
Wins 17 27
Draws 7 15
Losses 13 5
Goals Scored 1.16 1.57
Goals Conceded 1.16 0.7
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 0.74
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 14, 2010 Football League
Ethnikos Piraeus vs PAE Egaleo
1:0
Oct 11, 2009 Football League
PAE Egaleo vs Ethnikos Piraeus
1:1
May 25, 2008 Football League
Ethnikos Piraeus vs PAE Egaleo
1:2
Feb 24, 2008 Football League
PAE Egaleo vs Ethnikos Piraeus
1:1
May 13, 2000 Football League
PAE Egaleo vs Ethnikos Piraeus
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

PAE Egaleo 67 / 100
Ethnikos Piraeus 15 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
PAE Egaleo Ethnikos Piraeus

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PAE Egaleo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

PAE Egaleo's goal record stands at 68% scoring rate across 37 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

PAE Egaleo went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Ethnikos Piraeus has conceded goals in 49% of their last 47 outings.

Scoring Trends

PAE Egaleo VS Ethnikos Piraeus
1.86 Goals Scored 0.63
0.86 Goals Conceded 0.25
57% Over 1.5 38%
57% Over 2.5 0%
43% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

PAE Egaleo

(Home)
04 Oct
Ialysos
0 : 1
PAE Egaleo
27 Sept
PAE Egaleo
4 : 1
Apollon Kalythion
25 Apr
Ilioupoli
1 : 3
PAE Egaleo
19 Apr
Panargiakos
3 : 2
PAE Egaleo
04 Apr
PAE Egaleo
1 : 0
PAE Chania (Kissamikos)
Page 1 of 8

Ethnikos Piraeus

(Away)
04 Oct
Ethnikos Piraeus
1 : 1
Amfiali
27 Sept
PAO Rouf
0 : 1
Ethnikos Piraeus
17 May
Zakynthos
2 : 1
Ethnikos Piraeus
13 May
Ethnikos Piraeus
2 : 0
Pyrgos
10 May
Aris Petroupolis
1 : 0
Ethnikos Piraeus
Page 1 of 10

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 PAE Egaleo 2 2 0 0 5:1 6
2 Apollon Smyrnis 2 2 0 0 3:0 6
3 Doxa Vyronas 2 2 0 0 3:0 6
4 Ethnikos Piraeus 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
5 Amfiali 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
6 Afantou 2 1 1 0 1:0 4
7 Ionikos 2 0 1 1 0:1 1
8 Diagoras FC 2 0 1 1 0:2 1
9 PAO Rouf 2 0 1 1 0:1 1
10 Ialysos 2 0 0 2 0:2 0
11 AO Proodeftiki 2 0 0 2 0:3 0
12 Apollon Kalythion 2 0 0 2 1:5 0
Promotion - Gamma Ethniki - Group 8 (Winners stage)
Relegation - Gamma Ethniki - Group 8 (Losers stage)