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Stadium Background

PAE Egaleo vs Ilioupoli

Greece Greece

Super League 2 2025/2026 Dimotiko Stadio Psachnon, Psachna
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Hocko D.
35' Event
Evangelou I.
82' Event
Fofana M.

AI Match Summary

The Super League 2 2025/2026 game between PAE Egaleo and Ilioupoli finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward PAE Egaleo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

73%
PAE Egaleo
20%
Draws
7%
Ilioupoli
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: PAE Egaleo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • PAE Egaleo carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 73% — that's where the model lands on PAE Egaleo taking it.
  • Regular Super League 2 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors PAE Egaleo here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 20%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.200000000000003%
PAE Egaleo Clean Sheet 68%
Ilioupoli Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric PAE Egaleo Ilioupoli
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 10 5
Draws 6 4
Losses 13 21
Goals Scored 0.9 0.57
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 0.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 Super League 2
Ilioupoli vs PAE Egaleo
1:3
Mar 15, 2026 Super League 2
PAE Egaleo vs Ilioupoli
2:0
Dec 7, 2025 Super League 2
PAE Egaleo vs Ilioupoli
3:0
Oct 4, 2025 Super League 2
Ilioupoli vs PAE Egaleo
1:2
Apr 5, 2025 Super League 2
Ilioupoli vs PAE Egaleo
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

PAE Egaleo Compare

Top Goalscorer Hocko D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Evangelou I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Ilioupoli Compare

Avg xG / game 0.51
Avg xA / game 0.31

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

PAE Egaleo 95 / 100
Ilioupoli 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
PAE Egaleo Ilioupoli

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PAE Egaleo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ilioupoli has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Solid form: PAE Egaleo remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Ilioupoli lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

PAE Egaleo VS Ilioupoli
1 Goals Scored 0.5
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

PAE Egaleo

(Home)
25 Apr
Ilioupoli
1 : 3
PAE Egaleo
19 Apr
Panargiakos
3 : 2
PAE Egaleo
04 Apr
PAE Egaleo
1 : 0
PAE Chania (Kissamikos)
29 Mar
PAE Egaleo
2 : 1
Ellas Syrou
21 Mar
Athens Kallithea
1 : 1
PAE Egaleo
Page 1 of 6

Ilioupoli

(Away)
25 Apr
Ilioupoli
1 : 3
PAE Egaleo
19 Apr
PAE Chania (Kissamikos)
1 : 0
Ilioupoli
04 Apr
Ilioupoli
0 : 2
Ellas Syrou
29 Mar
Ilioupoli
0 : 2
Athens Kallithea
21 Mar
Panargiakos
1 : 1
Ilioupoli
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Iraklis FC 18 13 5 0 34:13 44
2 Niki Volos 18 11 6 1 41:10 39
3 Karditsa 18 12 3 3 25:10 39
4 Asteras Tripolis B 18 9 5 4 25:17 32
5 PAOK B 18 7 3 8 25:23 24
6 Kavala 18 6 5 7 16:22 23
7 Chrisoupolis 18 5 3 10 13:21 18
8 Kampaniakos 18 4 3 11 12:32 15
9 Giannina 18 2 4 12 10:24 10
10 Makedonikos Neapolis 18 1 3 14 8:37 6
Promotion - Super League 2 2025/2026 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Super League 2 2025/2026 (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kalamata 18 16 2 0 44:10 50
2 Panionios 18 13 4 1 28:8 43
3 Marko 18 9 4 5 21:13 31
4 Olympiacos Piraeus B 18 8 3 7 23:26 27
5 Athens Kallithea 18 7 5 6 21:17 26
6 Ellas Syrou 18 6 6 6 25:18 24
7 PAE Egaleo 18 4 5 9 14:22 17
8 Ilioupoli 18 4 3 11 14:29 15
9 PAE Chania (Kissamikos) 18 3 3 12 11:28 12
10 Panargiakos 18 0 5 13 8:38 5
Promotion - Super League 2 2025/2026 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Super League 2 2025/2026 (Relegation Group)