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Pafos vs AEL Limassol Prediction & H2H Stats

Cyprus Cyprus

Cyprus League Stelios Kyriakides Stadium, Pafos
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Match Events

35'
Ioannou N.
42'
Bruno
46'
Sub
Ioannou N. In: Aragao G. T.
Out: Ioannou N.

AI Match Summary

The Cyprus League game between Pafos and AEL Limassol finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward AEL Limassol.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Pafos
20%
Draws
40%
AEL Limassol
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Pafos come out ahead of AEL Limassol on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Pafos's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular Cyprus League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Pafos have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Pafos Clean Sheet 68%
AEL Limassol Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pafos AEL Limassol
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 14 13
Draws 9 5
Losses 8 12
Goals Scored 1.71 1.4
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 18, 2026 Cyprus League
Pafos vs AEL Limassol
0:2
Apr 22, 2026 Cyprus Cup
Pafos vs AEL Limassol
3:1
Apr 8, 2026 Cyprus Cup
AEL Limassol vs Pafos
1:2
Feb 15, 2026 Cyprus League
AEL Limassol vs Pafos
0:1
Nov 2, 2025 Cyprus League
Pafos vs AEL Limassol
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pafos Compare

Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

AEL Limassol Compare

Top Goalscorer Mughe F. R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Singh L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pafos 50 / 100
AEL Limassol 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pafos AEL Limassol

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pafos Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 7:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Pafos scored in 74% of their last 31 outings.

Defensive concern: AEL Limassol conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Pafos remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Pafos VS AEL Limassol
2.13 Goals Scored 1.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Pafos

(Home)
18 Sept
Pafos
0 : 2
AEL Limassol
13 Sept
AEK Larnaca
0 : 1
Pafos
07 Sept
Pafos
0 : 0
Ol. Nicosia
03 Sept
Omonia
0 : 1
Pafos
30 Aug
Karmiotissa
0 : 3
Pafos
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AEL Limassol

(Away)
18 Sept
Pafos
0 : 2
AEL Limassol
11 Sept
AEL Limassol
2 : 1
Nea Salamis
06 Sept
APOEL
6 : 0
AEL Limassol
30 Aug
AEL Limassol
2 : 0
Anorthosis
22 Aug
AEL Limassol
2 : 2
Aris Limassol
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AEK Larnaca 4 3 0 1 9:4 9
2 AEL Limassol 4 3 0 1 6:7 9
3 Omonia 4 2 2 0 8:2 8
4 Pafos 4 2 1 1 4:2 7
5 Apollon Limassol 4 1 3 0 7:5 6
6 Omonia Aradippou 4 1 3 0 4:3 6
7 Omonia 29th May 4 1 2 1 9:7 5
8 Aris Limassol 4 1 2 1 4:6 5
9 APOEL 4 1 1 2 10:7 4
10 Ol. Nicosia 4 0 4 0 7:7 4
11 Nea Salamis 4 1 1 2 8:9 4
12 Karmiotissa 4 0 3 1 3:6 3
13 Anorthosis 4 1 0 3 3:9 3
14 Krasava 4 0 0 4 2:10 0
Promotion - Cyprus League (Championship Group)
Relegation - Cyprus League (Relegation Group)