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Pafos vs APOEL Prediction & H2H Stats

Cyprus Cyprus

Cyprus League 2025/2026 Stelios Kyriakides Stadium, Pafos
Pafos Logo

Pafos

2 - 0
FT
APOEL Logo

APOEL

Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Lele
24'
Sub
Vitor Meer In: Poursaitidis C.
Out: Vitor Meer
33'
Lele
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Pafos in this Cyprus League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Pafos.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Pafos
30%
Draws
23%
APOEL
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Pafos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Pafos have won more games recently than APOEL.
  • Win probability leans Pafos's way, sitting at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Pafos Clean Sheet 10%
APOEL Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pafos APOEL
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 14 9
Draws 10 6
Losses 8 15
Goals Scored 1.75 1.47
Goals Conceded 1.06 1.73
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 22, 2026 Cyprus League
Pafos vs APOEL
2:0
Apr 26, 2026 Cyprus League
APOEL vs Pafos
3:3
Feb 4, 2026 Cyprus League
Pafos vs APOEL
2:0
Aug 31, 2025 Cyprus League
APOEL vs Pafos
0:1
May 12, 2025 Cyprus League
APOEL vs Pafos
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pafos Compare

Top Goalscorer Lele
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ioannou N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

APOEL Compare

Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pafos 40 / 100
APOEL 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pafos APOEL

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

APOEL's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

Pafos's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Pafos has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Pafos VS APOEL
2.13 Goals Scored 2.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
50% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Pafos

(Home)
18 Sept
Pafos
0 : 2
AEL Limassol
13 Sept
AEK Larnaca
0 : 1
Pafos
07 Sept
Pafos
0 : 0
Ol. Nicosia
03 Sept
Omonia
0 : 1
Pafos
30 Aug
Karmiotissa
0 : 3
Pafos
Page 1 of 7

APOEL

(Away)
19 Sept
Apollon Limassol
2 : 2
APOEL
12 Sept
Anorthosis
2 : 1
APOEL
06 Sept
APOEL
6 : 0
AEL Limassol
29 Aug
AEK Larnaca
3 : 1
APOEL
22 Aug
Ol. Nicosia
3 : 3
APOEL
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Omonia 36 27 6 3 88:24 87
2 AEK Larnaca 36 20 9 7 62:33 69
3 Apollon Limassol 36 20 7 9 52:41 67
4 Pafos 36 18 8 10 66:38 62
5 APOEL 36 15 7 14 53:45 52
6 Aris Limassol 36 14 9 13 61:45 51
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)