Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Pafos vs APOEL

Cyprus Cyprus

Cyprus League 2025/2026 Stelios Kyriakides Stadium, Pafos
Pafos Logo

Pafos

2 - 0
FT
APOEL Logo

APOEL

Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Lele
24'
Sub
Vitor Meer In: Poursaitidis C.
Out: Vitor Meer
33'
Lele
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Pafos in this Cyprus League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Pafos.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Pafos
6%
Draws
4%
APOEL
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Pafos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Pafos have won more games recently than APOEL.
  • Win probability leans Pafos's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Pafos Clean Sheet 20%
APOEL Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pafos APOEL
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 13 11
Draws 8 5
Losses 8 14
Goals Scored 1.75 0.63
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 22, 2026 Cyprus League
Pafos vs APOEL
2:0
Apr 26, 2026 Cyprus League
APOEL vs Pafos
3:3
Feb 4, 2026 Cyprus League
Pafos vs APOEL
2:0
Aug 31, 2025 Cyprus League
APOEL vs Pafos
0:1
May 12, 2025 Cyprus League
APOEL vs Pafos
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pafos Compare

Top Goalscorer Lele
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ioannou N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

APOEL Compare

Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pafos 85 / 100
APOEL 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pafos APOEL

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PAF Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

APOEL's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Pafos's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

APOEL has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Pafos VS APOEL
1.75 Goals Scored 0.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Pafos

(Home)
30 Jul
Pafos
4 : 0
Hajduk Split
23 Jul
Hajduk Split
2 : 0
Pafos
16 Jul
Slovan Bratislava
3 : 2
Pafos
12 Jul
Jagiellonia
1 : 0
Pafos
08 Jul
Jablonec
0 : 0
Pafos
Page 1 of 6

APOEL

(Away)
31 Jul
Sittard
2 : 1
APOEL
22 May
Pafos
2 : 0
APOEL
16 May
APOEL
0 : 3
Omonia
10 May
Apollon Limassol
2 : 0
APOEL
06 May
Aris Limassol
1 : 0
APOEL
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Omonia 36 27 6 3 88:24 87
2 AEK Larnaca 36 20 9 7 62:33 69
3 Apollon Limassol 36 20 7 9 52:41 67
4 Pafos 36 18 8 10 66:38 62
5 APOEL 36 15 7 14 53:45 52
6 Aris Limassol 36 14 9 13 61:45 51
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)