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Pafos vs APOEL - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Cyprus Cyprus

Cyprus League Stelios Kyriakides Stadium, Pafos
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Match Events

7'
Dragomir V.
46'
Sub
Dragomir V. In: Quina D.
Out: Dragomir V.
46'
Sub
Guga In: Brito A.
Out: Guga

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Cyprus League matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

15%
Pafos
35%
Draws
50%
APOEL
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: APOEL

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Pafos haven't matched APOEL's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Pafos Clean Sheet 11%
APOEL Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pafos APOEL
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 10 11
Draws 12 6
Losses 8 12
Goals Scored 1.4 1.66
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.62
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 19, 2026 Cyprus League
Pafos vs APOEL
0:0
May 22, 2026 Cyprus League
Pafos vs APOEL
2:0
Apr 26, 2026 Cyprus League
APOEL vs Pafos
3:3
Feb 4, 2026 Cyprus League
Pafos vs APOEL
2:0
Aug 31, 2025 Cyprus League
APOEL vs Pafos
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pafos 30 / 100
APOEL 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pafos APOEL

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

APOEL's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 29 matches.

Pafos scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Pafos stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Pafos VS APOEL
0.88 Goals Scored 2.75
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Pafos

(Home)
31 Oct
Apollon Limassol
2 : 2
Pafos
26 Oct
Nea Salamis
0 : 0
Pafos
22 Oct
Pafos
1 : 1
Riga FC
19 Oct
Pafos
0 : 0
APOEL
15 Oct
Atalanta
3 : 1
Pafos
Page 1 of 6

APOEL

(Away)
01 Nov
Omonia Aradippou
1 : 2
APOEL
28 Oct
APOEL
5 : 2
Halkanoras
25 Oct
APOEL
4 : 1
Omonia 29th May
19 Oct
Pafos
0 : 0
APOEL
10 Oct
APOEL
2 : 1
Nea Salamis
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AEK Larnaca 8 5 2 1 15:7 17
2 Apollon Limassol 8 4 4 0 21:10 16
3 Omonia 8 4 3 1 15:6 15
4 Aris Limassol 8 4 3 1 12:10 15
5 AEL Limassol 8 5 0 3 11:13 15
6 APOEL 8 4 2 2 18:10 14
7 Pafos 8 3 4 1 9:5 13
8 Omonia 29th May 8 3 2 3 13:13 11
9 Karmiotissa 8 1 3 4 5:16 6
10 Anorthosis 8 2 0 6 7:15 6
11 Omonia Aradippou 8 1 3 4 5:10 6
12 Ol. Nicosia 8 0 6 2 11:13 6
13 Nea Salamis 8 1 2 5 11:16 5
14 Krasava 8 1 2 5 8:17 5
Promotion - Cyprus League (Championship Group)
Relegation - Cyprus League (Relegation Group)